Eleven games are on the Major League Baseball schedule tonight as eight teams enjoy a Monday off. All of them are night games, so it should be a great day to fire away in your daily fantasy leagues. As mentioned on Monday’s edition of The Bettor’s Box, there are a lot of great pitchers on the mound today, including, but not limited to, Felix Hernandez, Clayton Kershaw, Gerrit Cole, Jacob deGrom, Garrett Richards, and Andrew Cashner. It could be a tough night to be a hitter in some of these games, so we’ll dig deep to find value for Monday night.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for June 1:
Los Angeles Dodgers – Kyle Kendrick is the de facto ace of a bad Colorado Rockies staff and it’s hard to see things going well for him on Monday. This will be a popular stacking play, but with good reason. Kendrick has a 6.38 ERA with a 6.09 FIP and a 5.05 xFIP. The scary thing for Kendrick is that he has thrown 42.1 innings on the road compared to 18.1 innings at home and still has these numbers. In 83 plate appearances at Coors Field, opposing hitters are batting .274/.366/.634(!!). He has allowed 13 home runs already this season. Fade Kendrick in a big way on Monday.
Atlanta – I hate to do this because I’m not high on Atlanta, but the Braves are walking into a good situation on Monday. The Diamondbacks played 17 innings on Sunday and have Archie Bradley on the mound. Bradley has averaged less than five innings per start this season, though he did get hit with a liner in one of them. The bigger issue is that Bradley has a 14 percent walk rate, which is among the worst in the league. The Diamondbacks desperately need length after a lot of bullpen innings over the weekend and they’re probably not going to get it from the youngster. That puts the Braves in a very good position.
Washington – It might be time to start shoveling dirt on RA Dickey. The oft-injured 40-year-old right-hander seems to be done. He has a 5.77 ERA with a 5.66 FIP and a 4.78 xFIP. He isn’t missing any bats anymore and his command has been horrendous. Perhaps a start in the familiar NL East is going to be helpful for him, but I wouldn’t count on it. For the third straight season, his knuckleball has declined in value per Baseball Info Solutions and his declining velocity is rendering his other pitches useless as well. Hitters aren’t chasing and he’s pitching from behind. His 57.7 percent first-pitch strike percentage is his lowest since 2010. Knuckleballers can’t afford to pitch from behind.
Here are the top value hitters for June 1:
Mark Trumbo ($3,900) – Pencil the big man in for a dinger on Monday. Alex Wood has made an interesting arsenal change for this season. He’s gotten more reliant on his fastball, at the expense of his changeup. The outcome has been a major drop in strikeouts. Interestingly, it has also led to an increase in walks. Without the good secondaries, Wood is allowing a .296 average against with a .353 BABIP. He has induced more ground balls this season, but some regression is likely coming to that HR/FB rate, given his 3.91 xFIP.
Justin Bour ($2,800) – Strike while the iron is hot with Bour. He’s 27 and doesn’t have a whole lot of Major League experience, but he’s flashed good power in the minor leagues and has a platoon advantage in this start against Jason Hammel. Hammel mows through right-handed hitters, but the lefty could scratch out some knocks and maybe a blast against him. Bour won’t keep up anything close to this pace, but he’s a good guy to take a flyer on.
Josh Donaldson ($4,600) – Normally I don’t put high-priced players in here, but Josh Donaldson is on another planet right now. Donaldson has a .872 SLG over his last 10 games with six homes. He’s been en fuego and nobody has been able to get him out. Jordan Zimmermann is a solid pitcher, but he has had his issues this season and Donaldson isn’t even the most expensive 3B today.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for June 1:
Jason Hammel ($7,800) – How good has Jason Hammel been this season? He’s averaged 21 points per start in DraftKings formats and a big reason his success has been a sparkling 8.29 K/BB ratio. He’s induced a lot of weak contact and has limited baserunners by commanding all of his pitches. Against a Marlins lineup that has struggled most of the season, Hammel is a good complement with one of the top aces on the board.
Clay Buchholz ($7,000) – Yeah, I’m doing this again. Buchholz gave up two runs on seven hits in his last start against the Twins and he gets them again on Monday. Buchholz has averaged over six innings per start, has bumped his strikeout rate up to 24.1 percent, and is due for some positive regression. Buchholz has a 4.33 ERA with a 3.06 FIP, a 3.15 xFIP, and a strong 3.19 SIERA. He’s thrown the ball well of late and should continue on Monday.
Jacob deGrom ($9,700) – deGrom is the fourth-most expensive pitcher for Monday night, but you could make a case for him being the most expensive. deGrom has dominated right-handed hitters in his career, holding them to a .211/.263/.301 slash. This season, deGrom has been even better with a .171/.226/.255 slash against. The Padres have a lot of right-handed bats, specifically in run-producing spots and that plays right into deGrom’s strength. Stream him without fear on Monday.