Sixteen games are on tap thanks to the day/night doubleheader between the Toronto Blue Jays and Washington Nationals. The first game eligible for DFS players is the afternoon matinee between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers. This daily look at the MLB teams and players to help you succeed in your contests will focus solely on the night games. There are some very interesting pitchers and some teams coming off of off days, so it will be a good day to dive in and make those tough decisions.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for June 2:
Cleveland – Jeremy Guthrie is coming off of his infamous 11-run bombing by the New York Yankees. Guthrie allowed four home runs and 12 baserunners in 1+ innings. Of course that 99.00 ERA, 65.10 FIP, and 20.14 xFIP skewed his numbers a little bit, but Guthrie has a 5.97 FIP and a 5.45 xFIP for the season. Guthrie has lost velocity and his changeup, once a weapon, is now one of his worst pitches. With decreased control and lots of pulled balls in play, it’s a perfect storm of problems for Guthrie. The Indians should take advantage.
St. Louis – Once again, the Milwaukee Brewers will tap into their farm system for a spot start, this time from Tyler Cravy. Cravy struggled as a youngster in rookie ball and Single-A, but has figured it out in the upper levels in short bursts. Cravy profiles as the type to get BABIPed to death in this start. He doesn’t allow a lot of home runs and throws five pitches, but scouts don’t project any of them to be above average. He has had control problems in 52.1 innings in Triple-A after dominating Double-A. This is a big leap for the kid to make and it comes against a solid lineup.
Detroit – The Tigers offense has suddenly gone from unstoppable to below average. The Tigers tore the cover off the ball in April and were below league average in wRC+ in May. A matchup against Kendall Graveman could be a good change to get back on track. In three road starts, Graveman has allowed 16 ER over 14.1 innings of work. His sinker will come back in against righties and the Tigers could take advantage if it flattens out over the middle of the plate. This is an expensive stack, but the Tigers offense will get back on track sooner rather than later.
Here are the top value hitters for June 2:
Eric Hosmer ($3,900) – The Royals first baseman has had a fine season so far with a .302/.379/.505 slash. His walk rate is the best it has ever been and his strike zone knowledge is improved. He has hit Indians pitching well in his career a big reason for his success this season has been his ability to drive the ball the other way. That’s the approach he needs to have against a hard-thrower with good breaking stuff like Carrasco.
Andrelton Simmons ($3,600) – Simmons continues to roll along. After a bad offensive season last year, Simmons has a .277/.329/.405 slash with some good extra-base hit power. He has 15 hits over his last 10 games as the Braves offense continues to surprise. You’d like to see a little bit more speed from a middle infielder, but Simmons will put balls in play against Josh Collmenter and a mediocre Diamondbacks defense.
Avisail Garcia ($3,800) – Garcia is quietly having a strong season with the White Sox. Sure, his .404 BABIP isn’t sustainable and it has been a big contributing factor to his .323/.360/.445 slash and 124 wRC+, but he’s a guy that posted high BABIPs with regularity in the minors because he hits the ball hard. Hard contact is a hallmark of Colby Lewis’s pitching style. This is a decent matchup for Garcia and DFS players looking for some extra-base hits.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 2:
Clay Buchholz ($7,200) – Yeah, I’m doing this again. Buchholz gave up two runs on seven hits in his last start against the Twins and he gets them again on Tuesday. Buchholz has averaged over six innings per start, has bumped his strikeout rate up to 24.1 percent, and is due for some positive regression. Buchholz has a 4.33 ERA with a 3.06 FIP, a 3.15 xFIP, and a strong 3.19 SIERA. He’s thrown the ball well of late and should continue on Tuesday. (reposted from my Monday article since Buchholz’s start was rained out)
Lance Lynn ($8,500) – Lance Lynn has increased his strikeout rate this season and has averaged better than six innings per start. Strikeouts and innings pitched are the two things you want the most from starters in DFS. Lynn has also been good at preventing runs, despite a .337 BABIP against. With the elite Cardinals defense, that BABIP against should gradually go down. Lynn dominates righties and the Brewers have a slew of those in their lineup.
Shelby Miller ($8,200) – I’m going to buy the hype for one more start. Regression is coming for Shelby Miller, but he’s locked in right now. Miller has refined the cutter that he started using last season with the Cardinals and that pitch has been a separator for him. Miller is essentially throwing three types of fastballs, plus a curveball and a very occasional changeup. It’s working for now, and it should again against the Diamondbacks. The cutter has been Miller’s best pitch by whiff rate at 13.7 percent and at inducing ground balls at 58.3 percent. It’s an arsenal change that has made a huge difference and one worth paying attention to.