Daily fantasy sports players have to be responsible with their bankrolls on Mondays and Thursdays. This Thursday is no different, with three games early and six games late as 12 teams enjoy a day off before the long grind to the All-Star Break. With the timeframe of this article, the focus will be on the late games only. It’s probably best for players as all three day games seem to have a good chance of staying under the total. Sometimes with these small six-game samples, it can be worthwhile to try and go against the grain with a GPP entry or a H2H to come out ahead if something unexpected happens.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for GPPs on June 11:
Cincinnati – The Reds have actually done very well against southpaws this season, ranking fourth in wOBA against them. They also have one of the highest walk rates. Wada doesn’t issue a ton of walks, but soft-tossing control guys like Wada need hitters to swing at their pitches in order to be effective. That means that selective lineups are going to present a problem. There are a lot of different stacking options since no pitcher costs more than $8,900, but this probably won’t be a popular one.
San Francisco – Jon Niese is rather enigmatic this season, but the Giants have been one of the better offensive teams over the last 30 days and they’re looking for a road sweep. Niese is a pitch-to-contact guy and the Giants have been a strong offensive team away from AT&T Park for a while now. The Mets are not a particularly good defensive team either. Stacking the Giants isn’t all that expensive either, so this could be very profitable.
Miami – Chris Rusin and David Phelps could each have some ugly stat lines in this one, but Miami could have the edge given their propensity for hitting lefties. Martin Prado will be near the top of the order and he has had great success against lefties in his career. Marcell Ozuna also flashes some big platoon splits. The Marlins are fourth in batting average and tied for second in wOBA against southpaws this season.
Here are the top value hitters for June 11:
Joe Panik ($3,600) – Joe Panik just keeps on hitting. Panik has a .430/.480/.695 slash over his last 10 games with some very surprising power. He now has six home runs on the season and a 30/21 K/BB. His emergence has had a lot to do with the Giants’ ability to get back in the hunt. The power may not be sustainable, but the bat-to-ball skills got him to the bigs and will keep him there.
Brock Holt ($3,200) – The super utility man has been very good at the plate throughout the season and has even swiped a couple of bags for good measure. The Red Sox are looking for somebody to provide some consistency in their lineup and Holt is emerging as one of those guys. Chris Tillman has really struggled throughout the season and the Red Sox may be able to put up some crooked numbers with Holt right in the middle of the action.
Danny Espinosa ($3,100) – The decline of Matt Garza continues in Milwaukee. The Nationals may be a good stacking option, but Espinosa is a nice, cheap option at a middle infield position generally not known for offense – second base. He has 3B eligibility as well, but his inclusion at 2B would allow you to pay for a more expensive, more productive 3B.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for June 11:
Garrett Richards ($8,900) – Yes, the most expensive pitcher on the board has value. Richards’s swinging strike rate isn’t that far off of last year’s mark, which means that a strikeout increase could be on the horizon. The Rays are a patient lineup and Richards’s control problems have flared up again, but his raw stuff is the best of any pitcher on the mound this evening and that counts for something.
Wade Miley ($6,600) – Maybe Miley can take advantage of the free-swinging Orioles lineup? This is a bad night to try and find value with pitchers. Miley has a 3.33 ERA over his last seven starts. The hope would be that he can work deep into the game and the Red Sox can advantage of the bad season Chris Tillman is having.
Michael Lorenzen ($4,500) – There aren’t a lot of options here and finding three of them required scraping the bottom of the barrel. The upside to Lorenzen is that he has pretty good stuff and a pretty good presence on the mound. The walks and the lack of innings pitched are obviously downers, but he has some strikeout potential against a Cubs lineup that will swing and miss.