After six early and nine late on Saturday, the script flips on Sunday with nine early and six late, at least for the East Coast crowd. Only seven games are on the docket for Monday, so some teams may be looking ahead to that day off. Be aware of those teams as you fill out your daily fantasy lineups for Sunday. A happy Father’s Day to the readers out there and to the listeners of The Bettor’s Box. Your gift from me will hopefully be some good advice in this DFS column and today’s MLB picks article.
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Here are the top teams to stack for June 21:
Chicago Cubs – The Cubs draw Kyle Gibson, a pitcher that I have isolated for regression for a while now. It has gradually arrived, as he has allowed 13 runs over his last 19 innings. His 3.33 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.14 xFIP suggest that regression should continue. The Twins aren’t a great defensive team and Gibson only has 49 strikeouts in 81 innings of work. Hitters make contact with over 92 percent of pitches in the zone per PITCHf/x and the Cubs have some power bats capable of some violent exit velocity. The ball may carry a bit better during the day at Target Field, so that’s a consideration as well.
New York (AL) – I had a small lean to the Yankees in my picks article, largely based on the price. That’s because Anibal Sanchez has shown some command issues this season and the Yankees have shown some prodigious power throughout the year. Sanchez still has the swing and miss stuff, but home runs have hurt him so far this season. Only the Rockies and Dodgers have a higher SLG percentage against righties than the Yankees. That’s worth a gamble in today’s DFS formats.
Colorado – I know, I know. It’s expensive to stack Colorado and the Rockies offense hasn’t been all that great this season. Neither has Matt Garza. His declining skill set is more evident this season than ever before. After another bad outing last time out, Garza’s ERA is now sitting at 5.07, with a 4.83 FIP, and a 4.16 xFIP. His strikeout rate is the worst of his career. His BB% is the second-worst of his career and his HR/FB% is also the second-worst of his career. A start at Coors Field won’t buck these trends.
Here are the top value hitters for June 21:
Ike Davis ($2,900) – Ike Davis is back off the DL for the A’s and has a fine matchup on Sunday against Garrett Richards. Davis has batted .277/.345/.416 against righties this season and is now up to .255/.356/.453 against righties for his career. Garrett Richards is tough on all hitters, but Davis is a cheap stream at first base if you want to load up at another position, specifically the outfield.
Randal Grichuk ($3,600) – Hopefully you played Randal Grichuk on Saturday per my suggestion. Grichuk had a 39-point day with a couple of home runs and a double. We’ll go back to the well again as he faces call-up Alex Morgan of the Phillies. Grichuk is up to .294/.315/.597 on the season now. His salary only went up $300 off the big day, but he could be in line for another positive showing on Sunday.
Evan Longoria ($3,700) – The Rays third baseman has a .273/.350/.416 slash after blasting a three-run homer off of Corey Kluber in the first inning on Saturday. The Rays could actually be a decent stacking option against Cody Anderson, who is making his first big league start. Anderson is a pitch-to-contact ground ball guy, so balls finding holes could make it a long day. If that happens, Longoria may get plenty of chances to drive in runs.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for June 21:
Michael Wacha ($9,100) – After some low strikeout totals to start the season, Wacha has now struck out 27 batters over his last four outings. He draws a putrid Phillies lineup on Sunday, which basically speaks for itself as to why he’s a good candidate for streaming. Wacha has used the excellent Cardinals defense to his advantage this season and the Phillies are not showing a ton of effort lately.
Scott Kazmir ($8,600) – The A’s have gotten excellent pitching at the top of the rotation from Sonny Gray and Scott Kazmir. Kazmir draws an Angels lineup that hasn’t done a whole lot this season. He has averaged just shy of a strikeout per inning and has done a good job of limiting home runs. He’s certainly worth a look as one of the few starters with a lot of strikeout upside on the board today.
Andrew Cashner ($6,600) – Andrew Cashner’s strikeout rate has climbed this season as he tries to take the Padres defense out of the equation. He could have similar success to what Tyson Ross experienced on Saturday. Once again, there aren’t a lot of strikeout pitchers available out there on Sunday. A lot of back of the rotation guys are going and Matt Harvey and Masahiro Tanaka are both expensive.