Daily fantasy players will have to set their lineups over breakfast today with eight day games and just three night games. All day contests are going to be tricky, so it’s better to segment the article into early and late games. Day games on travel days always increase the degree of difficulty as players get the day off or just don’t seem too invested in the game. There are some good pitchers going in the early games as well, so that could have something to do with the hitting and some low scores.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for June 25:
Boston – Miguel Gonzalez is a guy that lives on control. With marginal command, Gonzalez needs to avoid walks to avoid big innings and very bad outcomes. So far, he’s been able to do that in his career by outpitching his advanced metrics. Coming off the DL for this daytime start in Boston, Gonzalez could run into problems if he’s not sharp. Of course, the Red Sox offense is terrible most days, but it’s hard to find any stacking possibilities in the day games. This is one that merits some consideration.
Houston – The betting market has been waiting for Adam Warren to get shelled and today may be that day. The Astros are coming off of a long road trip, which is about the only reason to not like the Astros and their hitters today. Warren doesn’t possess a lot of strikeout upside, which is one big flaw of the Astros lineup. Warren has a 3.62 ERA with a 4.25 FIP and 4.35 xFIP.
St. Louis – The Cardinals face Dan Haren and the Marlins on Thursday as they look to finish off the sweep. Haren has a home run problem, as we all know. It is somewhat suppressed by the pitcher-friendly conditions at Marlins Park, but the Cardinals have a lot of guys that put the ball in play and they aren’t as reliant on walks as most other teams. Since Haren doesn’t issue many walks, it’s all about command. The Cardinals have plenty of hitters capable of taking advantage.
Here are the top value hitters for June 25:
Paul Goldschmidt ($6,300) – Yes, there can be value on the highest-priced hitter on the market. Goldy has had a fairly quiet series in Colorado, in that he only has two hits, though one left the yard. Goldschmidt has a career .329/.419/.610 slash against southpaws and has hit five home runs off of them already this season. Jorge de la Rosa has really struggled to spot his pitches this season, especially at home. Goldy is worth a look, even at this price.
Yonder Alonso ($3,400) – Yonder Alonso has hit .310/.404/.405 against righties this season and Chris Heston has had some ugly platoon splits this season. Most sinkerballers have a tough time with lefties and Heston has been no different. Alonso is enjoying a strong season for the Padres and hit third in the lineup on Wednesday. The higher he hits, the more value he has as the Padres try to kickstart a scuffling offense.
Starling Marte ($4,700) – Marte has the combination of speed and power that you look for in these daily fantasy formats. Anthony DeSclafani is making his way through some teams for a third time and the depth of his arsenal just isn’t enough to keep sustaining success. The Pirates have a lot of slumping hitters right now, but Marte has that ability to rack up points because of his extra-base hit prowess and stolen base potential.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for June 25:
Jon Lester ($9,300) – It’s been a rough series for the Dodgers, who just got acclimated to Central Time within the last day or so and now line up for a day game against a tough lefty. The Dodgers own right-handed pitching, but lefties have given them all sorts of fits this season. Lester has been hurt by teams that like to steal this season. The Dodgers have only taken 14 bags, by far the fewest in the league. This is a strong matchup for him as the Cubs look to take three out of four.
Taylor Jungmann ($5,300) – Jungmann has a heavy sinker and decent secondaries, which should be a good enough arsenal to hold down a poor New York Mets offense. Jungmann has induced a lot of ground balls, which means that the Mets will need to string hits together to score runs. They haven’t done that most of the season and have averaged just 3.2 runs per game this month. Jungmann has good upside at a great price.
Lance Lynn ($9,200) – Lynn is coming off of the DL, which may keep some people from backing him. That’s a mistake. The Marlins rank 26th in wOBA as a team against righties and have the third-worst wRC+ in the league against them. Lynn is great against right-handed batters and most of the guys capable of doing damage swing from that side. The time off may have actually benefited Lynn, especially if he had been pitching with discomfort for a while.