Looking at Sunday’s daily fantasy contest possibilities, it’s going to be a rather interesting day. Four teams play doubleheaders, as the Nationals and Phillies and Indians and Orioles all play two, while the Reds and Mets complete a suspended game prior to starting up the series finale. It’s also a big day for pitching with five $10,000 arms on the bump in DraftKings formats. It should be an exciting day on the diamond.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for June 28:
Milwaukee – Fly ball fiend Tom Milone is on the bump for the Twins as they finish their series at Miller Park. It’s a good hitter’s park and the Brewers have a lot of right-handed bats in their lineup. Righties are batting a robust .302/.356/.496 against the southpaw on the season, with six of the eight home runs that Milone has allowed. Milone’s 3.59 ERA is accompanied by a 5.06 FIP and a 4.69 xFIP, so regression is certainly a possibility.
Tampa Bay – Justin Masterson will get a spot start in the Red Sox rotation after posting a 6.37 ERA with a 5.26 FIP and a 5.01 xFIP over his first seven starts. The Rays don’t walk as much as they have in the past, but they still have a patient lineup that utilizes platoon splits. Masterson has had problems with lefties throughout his career and had K%-BB% of just three percent before losing his spot, one of the lowest marks in the league. Opposing batters also hit .284 off of him.
New York Yankees – I’m still a believer in Collin McHugh, but he’s making it very hard. His command has been off this season, with big spikes in line drives and home runs against. His 4.80 ERA is accompanied by a 4.21 FIP and a 3.98 xFIP, so positive regression is possible. However, the Yankees have lived and died by the long ball this season and McHugh has thrown too many fat pitches. A few bloops and a couple blasts will validate this stack rather quickly.
Here are the top value hitters for June 28:
Jose Abreu ($4,200) – We get Abreu at a bargain price on Sunday because he takes on David Price. Abreu has been elevated to the #2 spot in the lineup as the White Sox look to find some sort of spark. Abreu homered on Saturday from the two-hole and has a .290/.341/.493 slash on the season. Normally he’s priced higher than this, so maybe we can take advantage of the value against Price.
Juan Uribe ($3,200) – After some periodic struggles earlier in his career, Juan Uribe has accepted his role as a platoon player and has had three straight strong seasons against southpaws. This season, Uribe has a .294/.368/.559 slash against southpaws. Last season, he had a .291/.326/.407 and the year before he posted a .474 SLG. Those are three straight above average seasons against lefties. Against Jeff Locke, the Braves are looking for any offense they can get and Uribe could provide some.
David Murphy ($3,100) – The Indians have utilized the Ryan Raburn/David Murphy platoon in the middle of the order this season and Murphy will take his swings at Chris Tillman in the first game. This is a low price for a guy with a .326/.362/.478 slash against righties on the season. He has very good bat control, which is important against a guy like Tillman that throws a lot of junk with movement and poor control.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for June 28:
Hector Santiago ($7,300) – Perhaps it’s time to believe in Hector Santiago. He has 82 strikeouts in 87.1 innings of work, which is important for DFS formats because strikeouts and innings pitched are so useful. Santiago has a 2.38 ERA at home while holding batters to a .195/.286/.325 slash. Shadows are often a problem at Angel Stadium in day games, so that could also impact Santiago’s outing. The Mariners are a poor offensive team and this is a solid matchup for the lefty.
Trevor Bauer ($7,100) – Trevor Bauer likes to sequence his pitches and play head games with hitters. The ultra-aggressive Orioles may not have much success against that type of pitching philosophy. Bauer’s control can hold him back a bit, but with Toru Murata starting in the nightcap, Bauer will work as deep into the game as he possibly can. Innings pitched are easy points and the Orioles are unlikely to barrel up most of Bauer’s offerings.
Steven Matz ($7,700) – Matz seems to be a little bit overpriced for his first start of his career, but there’s a reason for that. He dazzled in the Pacific Coast League, which is known for offense and friendly hitter’s parks. The 24-year-old southpaw has a plus changeup and good velocity, so creating separation in his pitches is a strong suit. He would have been in the bigs sooner if not for Tommy John surgery.