The night games will be under the microscope in today’s look at the daily fantasy landscape. Twelve games are on tap for the entire day, with four day games, and a 6:30 p.m. ET start time between the Phillies and Brewers to wrap up that series. It’s not the prettiest slate in the world, with three pitchers at $9,200 or higher at DraftKings and the rest at $7,700 or less. Don’t worry. We’ll find some value for Thursday night to help you become the next big winner.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for July 2:
Toronto – Everybody in the daily fantasy world will be on this stack. The Toronto Blue Jays and their historic offense against lefties take on Wade Miley. If you’re looking to cash big in a GPP, you might as well match other entries and then find your value elsewhere. The Blue Jays are leaving pitchers in their wake left and right this season and Miley doesn’t have a whole lot of weapons to keep this powerful offense at bay.
Milwaukee – Chad Billingsley returns from his latest setback, a shoulder injury, to bring his below average command to the mound against the Milwaukee Brewers. Billingsley’s first three starts didn’t go particularly well. He gave up 23 hits in 16 innings, three home runs, and 13 runs. His command was poor in Triple-A as well and the Brewers don’t get many chances to beat up on the opposition. They might as well try on Thursday.
Colorado – A lot of people will roll with the Diamondbacks stack against Chris Rusin, so we’ll try to go a little against the grain with this one. Hellickson has been terrible this season no matter where he has pitched. A lack of command has been a major contributing factor. He’s been fortunate to post low BABIPs from the stretch, otherwise his run prevention numbers would look even worse. Despite a drop in K%, Hellickson has a .270 BABIP against with runners on, compared to a .347 from the windup.
Here are the top value hitters for July 2:
Danny Valencia ($3,400) – You knew this was coming. Valencia didn’t help us out against Eduardo Rodriguez last time out, but the platoon bat owns left-handed pitching and has over his career. This season: .380/.415/.480 against lefties. Career: .332/.372/.500. He’s a big part of the Blue Jays machine against southpaws and he’s an absolute must-stream at this price.
Miguel Sano ($3,900) – It’s a worthwhile endeavor to give Miguel Sano a chance to make a big impact for his Major League debut. Chris Young does a great job inducing weak fly ball contact, but Sano has immense amounts of power and he could certainly get on top of a mistake from Young. Young doesn’t miss many bats, so Sano should put some balls in play. It will take a bit for pitchers to adjust to him and get some good scouting reports. Because of that, Sano may have the advantage, a la Joey Gallo, for a week or two.
Ben Zobrist ($4,200) – Three of the last five years for Zobrist against left-handed pitching have been very productive. Over the course of his career, Zobrist has a .286/.364/.445 slash against southpaws. The switch hitter has been swinging a good bat since he returned from the DL and Roenis Elias can have some control problems. That gives a patient hitter like Zobrist a lot of value, especially with these splits.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for July 2:
Yovani Gallardo ($7,700) – The Orioles could be a pretty good matchup for Gallardo, as his veteran knowhow provides a good contrast to the ultra-aggressive style of the opposition. Gallardo has done a good job of sequencing throughout the season and has outpitched his advanced metrics. Gallardo doesn’t miss a ton of bats, which limits his DFS value, but he’s working deep into games and has posted some solid traditional stats.
Manny Banuelos ($4,600) – It’s not a great night for pitching. That’s evident in the fact that Banuelos might actually have some value. He is a guy that misses a lot of bats. This is his Major League debut, so nerves could be a contributing factor, but he has spent a lot of time at different levels of the Major Leagues. Control is a problem, so this could be a short outing, but there’s not a whole lot of strikeout upside on the card.
Scott Kazmir ($9,200) – Kazmir has been great this season with a 2.79/3.37/3.65 and a strong strikeout rate just shy of one per inning. He has the highest chase rate of his career per PITCHf/x and has done a great job of inducing swings and misses on pitches outside the zone. The Mariners offense is hardly exciting, so this is a very good matchup, especially with the number of left-handed hitters that the Mariners trot out on a regular basis.