The final weekend of the Major League Baseball campaign begins, though we could have some chaos early next week to prolong the regular season. Either way, we’ll just focus on Friday night here and take things one day at a time in our daily fantasy baseball tips article. It’s a very interesting night for pitchers as 14 of the 30 starts listed as probables are priced under $6,000 in DraftKings formats and four more are priced under $7,000. The implication is that it will be a good night for hitting, but we’ll have to see.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 30:
Milwaukee – It’ll be very interesting to see how Colorado handles the final series of the season. It has been a long year and there are a lot of young kids playing, so it’s perfectly reasonable for the Brew Crew to pack it in. On the other hand, the game is a lot easier to play when you can have some offensive fun in Colorado. Chad Bettis takes the hill for the Rockies here and he’s had a challenging season with a 4.92 ERA.
Texas – With so many low-priced pitchers, you would think it’d be easy to stack, but there is more than meets the eye to tonight. We’ll look at the Rangers here, who take on Matt Andriese of the Rays. Andriese has gotten back on track a bit with five earned runs allowed over his last 16.1 innings of work, but he had allowed 28 runs over his previous five starts. Since we don’t know which Andriese we will get, the Rangers are worth consideration in at least one of your GPP entries, if not more.
Seattle – The Mariners still have a slim shot at creating Wild Card chaos in the American League. With no margin for error, they’ll have to do some damage against Raul Alcantara. Alcantara has a 5.75 ERA with a 6.10 FIP in his 20.1 innings so far. He’s never missed a lot of bats in the minors, so those are guys that don’t have a whole lot of wiggle room at the big league level. He’s already allowed five home runs and 13 runs on 24 hits in his four starts. It’d be a surprise if he fared better here.
Here are the top value hitters for September 30:
Chris Davis ($3,600) – It hasn’t been a great season for Chris Davis. Even though he’s struggling, this price is an absolute bargain for him against Michael Pineda. Pineda’s home run rate has gradually slowed down throughout the season, but command has been an ongoing problem. Pineda has given up 25 gopher balls and has posted a .339 BABIP against this season. The short porch at Yankee Stadium could play even shorter tonight.
Francisco Lindor ($3,900) – Francisco Lindor has gotten three of the last six days off and that’s exactly what the rookie needed. Lindor has a .300 average with 14 HR and 75 RBI on the season. With the team now in the postseason, it’s time for Lindor to focus on some personal successes and to snap out of this long slump. He’s drawn five walks over his last four games, which is a sign that he’s seeing the ball well, but just hasn’t had the BABIP success. That’s a good sign for a slumping hitter, so he could bounce back here.
Edwin Encarnacion ($4,000) – As I’ve discussed before, sometimes it’s best to just take great hitters when they’re at low prices, regardless of the matchup. Rick Porcello is having an excellent season, but so is Edwin Encarnacion. He’s hit 42 dingers and has added 34 doubles. He’s slashing .266/.358/.536 on the season. At this price point, he’s definitely worth a look.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 30:
Matt Wisler ($5,800) – Matt Wisler takes on the Detroit Tigers on Friday night and the Tigers will be missing a key offensive piece in Victor Martinez with the pitcher forced into the lineup. Wisler has held righties to a .296 wOBA on the season with a .248/.279/.420 slash against. He’ll face a right-handed-heavy lineup in this start, so he’s a viable streaming candidate against a team playing with a lot of pressure.
Robert Gsellman ($6,600) – Robert Gsellman’s 35 strikeouts in 38.2 innings have been a little bit of a surprise given his minor league track record, but he draws a great assignment here in the Philadelphia Phillies. Gsellman has shown a knack for keeping the ball in the park, which has allowed him to limit the opposition to just 11 runs in his six starts and two relief appearances.
Taijuan Walker ($8,700) – After not even lasting an inning against the Angels on September 3, the Mariners overhauled Taijuan Walker’s mechanics. In four starts since, Walker has allowed nine runs over 24.2 innings for a 3.28 ERA and he’s struck out 27 batters. He’s also induced a ton of ground balls. The changes seem to have worked and he takes on the Oakland A’s in the cavernous O.co Coliseum. He’s a very worthy stream tonight.