We only have four days left of the Major League Baseball regular season. The 162-game grind comes to a close on Sunday, though we could get a Wild Card play-in game. Even if we do, it won’t be useful for daily fantasy purposes. Some may play postseason DFS. We won’t be putting out an article, as the number of games is so small and the level of variance is so high. Cherish these last four days because the DFS piece won’t be back until April.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 29:
Chicago Cubs – We’ll see what kind of lineup the Cubs send out, but the pace that Ivan Nova’s been on seemed unsustainable and that proved to be true. Nova was absolutely brilliant over his first eight starts with the Pirates, as he allowed just 15 runs in that span. He’s given up 11 runs, nine earned, on 18 hits over his last seven innings. Nova only has two strikeouts in each of those starts after ringing up 11 Phillies in his September 13 start. If the Cubs bring a real lineup to the plate, they’ll be a good option.
New York Yankees – A tradition unlike any other – the game after clinching the division. The Red Sox lost in devastating fashion on Wednesday night and still got to pop bottles with Toronto’s loss. Henry Owens gets the start today for the hungover Red Sox and he’ll likely have a patchwork defensive lineup behind him. Owens has made four starts this season and has walked more batters than he has struck out and owns a 7.79 ERA with an 8.45 FIP and a 7.21 xFIP. He has a 5.27/5.18/5.49 slash in his 80.1 MLB innings.
Toronto – The Blue Jays suffered a tough setback on Hyun Soo Kim’s ninth-inning dinger on Wednesday night, but they get a chance to erase that memory and get back in the win column off Ubaldo Jimenez. Jimenez sports a 5.71 ERA with a 4.50 FIP and a 4.68 xFIP in his 135.2 innings of work. He’s actually been really useful since late July, but we know that blow-up potential is always there.
Here are the top value hitters for September 29:
Hunter Renfroe ($3,200) – Another day, another dinger for Hunter Renfroe, who now has four homers in his last four games. Renfroe’s price has jumped $900 from yesterday, but he’s still a good value candidate for a lot of reasons. He’ll start with a platoon advantage against Julio Urias, but don’t expect Urias to work more than a couple of innings, three at the most. Renfroe has eight hits in 21 at bats, including those four homers. He batted .306/.336/.557 in Triple-A this season.
Ryon Healy ($3,700) – Ryon Healy hasn’t really slowed down this month and he’ll have a platoon advantage on Thursday night against Ariel Miranda. Healy has four of his 12 home runs in just 67 plate appearances against left-handed pitching at the big league level. Overall, he’s batting .313/.347/.536 with his 12 dingers and 20 doubles in just 252 at bats.
Carlos Gonzalez ($3,800) – We know that Rockies players hit significantly better at home. Carlos Gonzalez is no exception, but he’s not going to be throwing away any at bats at this point. CarGo is batting .298 for the season with 99 RBI. He’s already got 25 home runs and players really like those round numbers. That’s an angle that you can play this weekend.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 29:
CC Sabathia ($6,600) – The setup will be good for CC Sabathia, but we’ll have to see how the execution goes. The Hefty Lefty will be facing a very watered-down Red Sox lineup after they clinched the AL East division title last night. Sabathia has been pretty decent this season and has 58 strikeouts in his last 59.2 innings. Against a hungover, Triple-A lineup for the Red Sox, he’s worthy of a stream.
Alex Reyes ($7,400) – Alex Reyes makes his last start of the season and it comes against the Cincinnati Reds. Reyes has struck out 46 in his 40 MLB innings and has been able to work around his walk issues. The Cardinals still have a lot to play for and Reyes has flashed some dominant stuff, so he should be good for a solid outing at a really good price point.
Chris Archer ($9,100) – Chris Archer is going to let it all hang out in his final start of the 2016 season. It’s been a long, frustrating campaign for the right-hander, but he faces the Chicago White Sox here and they’ve had issues with righties most of the season. In the second half, Archer owns a 3.19 ERA with 98 K in 84.2 innings of work and he has nearly shaved his walk rate in half. He’s a great option at a very reasonable price.