After a season full of Wednesday getaway day games, there is only one afternoon contest on the final Hump Day of the regular season. That gives us 14 of the 15 games to consider for tonight’s daily fantasy baseball slate. A lot of things still need to be decided league-wide and there are a lot of players looking to put finishing touches on the season. We only have five days left of DFS insight for the MLB season, so hopefully today’s the day that you win big.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 28:
Toronto – Chris Tillman has had a fine season, but the Orioles right-hander either isn’t healthy yet or is still trying to find it after his DL stint. Tillman had a good start in his first outing back, but has since given up six runs on nine hits in just 7.1 innings of work over his last two starts. The Blue Jays have a lot of guys capable of doing damage and Tillman seems to be fighting with his mechanics from the stretch since his return.
Cleveland – After a day off to recuperate from a Central Division title, the Indians face Michael Fulmer in what will be the Rookie of the Year’s final regular season start and possibly final start of 2016. Fulmer is in the midst of his worst month of the season, although he hasn’t been all that bad. The Indians did knock him around in Cleveland a couple weekends ago and there’s been some regression to that .262 BABIP. With the pressure off, the Indians can just go out there and hit. The same can’t be said for the Tigers and Fulmer, who are scratching and clawing for a wild card berth.
Arizona – The Diamondbacks are mostly playing out the string on the season, but they do draw a left-hander in Gio Gonzalez on Wednesday night. Arizona has been at or near the top in wOBA against lefties all season long and Gonzalez is having a down year. He has a 4.51 ERA because he hasn’t been able to work out of jams and he’s given up 16 runs over his last four starts covering 19.1 innings of work.
Here are the top value hitters for September 28:
Hunter Renfroe ($2,300) – Remember this name. All Hunter Renfroe has done in the minor leagues is hit and he’s coming off of a huge night on Tuesday with two dingers and seven RBI. In Triple-A, Renfroe posted a .306/.336/.557 slash with 30 home runs and 105 RBI. In his 2015 season, he hit 20 home runs and excelled in a 21-game stint in Triple-A. He’s an excellent hitter and a guy to follow going forward.
Brandon Belt ($3,500) – Brandon Belt will have a platoon advantage over Tyler Chatwood and he seems to regularly be underpriced. He’s batting .272/.389/.469 on the season and .273/.385/.545 over his last 10 games. He’s got 16 homers and 39 doubles on the season, so there are a couple of milestone numbers that he could reach. That’s a driving force for players at this point in the year, so it’s worthy of consideration.
Adrian Beltre ($4,100) – The future Hall of Famer just keeps on hitting. Adrian Beltre has 32 dingers with a .297/.356/.517 slash and he’s swinging a good stick over his last 10 games. Beltre draws Chase Anderson, who has been overachieving for a little while and it’s certainly possible that he has a big day in this one.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 28:
Miguel Gonzalez ($7,300) – You already know the stats about Miguel Gonzalez and how he’s had three really bad starts and a lot of very good ones this season. The Tampa Bay Rays haven’t hit righties all season long and it would be very surprising if they started now. Gonzalez has a 3.04 ERA and a 3.40 FIP over his last 12 outings.
Ervin Santana ($9,300) – Ervin Santana is looking to wrap up his season a high note against the Kansas City Royals. The Royals aren’t a great offensive team as we know and Santana has found some more strikeout stuff of late. Over his last 10 outings, he has 61 strikeouts in 56 innings of work. He’s been one of the few bright spots for the Twins this year and he has the opportunity to go into the offseason with a lot of momentum.
Cole Hamels ($10,700) – Cole Hamels probably has the best matchup of anybody on Wednesday night with the Milwaukee Brewers. Hamels had been struggling quite a bit before he threw seven shutout against Oakland last time out. He has 194 strikeouts in 193.2 innings of work. The walk rate is a little concerning against a Brewers team that has drawn a lot of them, but Hamels has excellent stuff and this is a young lineup that hasn’t seen him much.