There are only two Saturdays left of the Major League Baseball regular season and that’s probably making some of you sad, especially the people that have killed it with MLB daily fantasy baseball this season. Hopefully we’ve helped along the way. Today, we’ll focus on the 10 night games and let the five day games play out however they want. It’s a very interesting slate tonight with Madison Bumgarner, Clayton Kershaw, and then a lot of variety.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 24:
San Francisco – It’s hit or miss for the Giants in the second half, who have had periodic offensive explosions surrounded by long stretches of ineptitude. They’ll draw Jarred Cosart on Saturday, so we’re hoping for the former. On the season, Cosart hasn’t won a game with a 5.63 ERA, a 4.79 FIP, and a 4.85 xFIP. His numbers haven’t improved very much with the Padres and he’s still issuing a ton of walks. As long as the Giants take advantage of those free passes, they should have a strong day.
Arizona – Even though Wade Miley finally resembled a big league pitcher last time out, we’ll look to fade him here today. Miley draws a Diamondbacks lineup that has been near or at the top of the wOBA column against left-handed pitching all season long. Arizona also gets to add another hitter with this game at Camden Yards, so they’ll get a lot of good swings against the former Diamondback. Since joining the Orioles nine starts ago, Miley has a 7.55 ERA and a 4.63 FIP.
Houston – Jhoulys Chacin hasn’t been very effective since his move to the Angels and his statistical profile doesn’t line up well for a matchup with the Houston Astros. Since joining the American League, Chacin has posted a 5.26 ERA with a 4.22 FIP and a 4.52 xFIP. He’s not missing many bats and he’s issuing too many walks. Those are two things that make the Astros extremely dangerous and that’s what they are today.
Here are the top value hitters for September 24:
Brandon Guyer ($3,900) – Brandon’s not just a guy, er, well, he is, but he’s a different kind of guy against left-handed pitching. Guyer is slashing a robust .325/.455/.547 against southpaws on the season and he’s made a career out of platoon advantage hitting. He’s batting .285/.388/.467 against lefties over the course of his career and has a 142 wRC+.
Manny Machado ($3,900) – There are two elite hitters at low prices today because of opposing pitchers, but it’ll be fun to see how they stack up. One is Manny Machado, who draws a pretty unique matchup against Robbie Ray. Machado is slashing .331/.398/.538 against lefties on the season, so I really don’t know how he’s sitting below $4,000 here, but we’ll take the value.
Nolan Arenado ($4,000) – Machado’s probably a better gamble than this gentleman, but Nolan Arenado is an offensive stud. Arenado owns a .292/.359/.572 slash on the year with 40 dongs and 129 RBI. You can say what you want about the home/road splits and it’s all reasonable, but he’s still hit 16 of his 40 homers on the road with a .271/.332/.495 slash. Those are great numbers.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 24:
Ariel Miranda ($7,500) – There’s very little in the form of affordable value pitching for the night games. Many of the low-priced have been terrible, are coming back from injury, or simply won’t work deep into the game. Miranda has been pretty good over his last few starts and facing the Twins certainly isn’t a detriment. Miranda has allowed just two earned runs (five total) over his last three starts covering 19 innings.
Robbie Ray ($8,300) – This is not an ideal matchup for Rob Ray, but his strikeout rate makes him a viable streaming candidate in this spot. His walk rate shouldn’t be that much of an issue against an aggressive Baltimore lineup, so hopefully he can limit damage and rack up some strikeouts. At this price point, he’s as good of a bet as you have in the market today.
Clayton Kershaw ($12,800) – If you can get Kershaw on your roster, you do it. He’s elite. You don’t need the stats. You already know that they are eye-popping. He’s actually a few bucks cheaper than Madison Bumgarner, so I’m going to say that there’s value in that. Of course, he’s $3,600 more expensive than the next closest pitcher, but you can figure it out.