Another day, another set of baseball games. We’ve got 15 games on Friday, but we’ll leave out the early one between the Cubs and Cardinals. That gives us 14 games and 28 teams to consider for today’s daily fantasy baseball action. There are a lot of teams still in the hunt and quite a few teams looking to finish out the year strong, so it should be a good weekend on the diamond. Use these DFS tips and hopefully it’ll be a good Friday night for you.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 23:
Baltimore – Shelby Miller in an American League East ballpark that isn’t Tropicana Field? Uh oh. Miller draws the Baltimore Orioles on Friday night and that’s not good for him or the Diamondbacks. Miller has a 6.90 ERA with a 5.11 FIP and a 5.08 xFIP on the season. He’s posted a 62/38 K/BB ratio in just 90 innings of work and he’s allowed 14 home runs. This is about the worst possible matchup for him given the season he’s having.
Tampa Bay – I’m curious to see if Tampa Bay steps up here this weekend. They’ll have a chance against Drew Pomeranz. There’s a growing chance that Pomeranz will lose his ALDS rotation spot to Eduardo Rodriguez or Clay Buchholz with the way things are going right now. With the Red Sox, Pomeranz owns a 4.91 ERA and a 4.91 FIP over his 62.1 innings of work. He’s worked 164.1 innings this season and fatigue may be getting the best of him. He’s lasted just 5.2 innings in his last two starts while allowing nine runs on 11 hits.
Seattle – The Mariners head to Target Field to take on a Twins team that cannot wait for the season to end. They played a doubleheader and got swept on Thursday, so I wouldn’t expect much of an effort on Friday. Kyle Gibson owns a 5.10 ERA with a 4.83 FIP and a 4.48 xFIP in his 136 innings this year. Lefties are batting .333/.392/.512 against him, so at least find a way to throw some Mariners lefties in the lineup.
Here are the top value hitters for September 23:
Xander Bogaerts ($3,600) – We’ve seen a little bit of BABIP regression from Xander Bogaerts, like we expected, but any time you can get a hitter of his caliber at a price point like this, you have to do it. Bogaerts is still a .295/.355/.444 hitter with 20 dingers and 13 steals. He’ll fill up every category and those are the types of players that can provide some serious value in DFS formats.
David Freese ($3,600) – An angle you can play with regularity is to get those right-handed bats that hit lefties very well, but tend to struggle against righties. David Freese is having a decent season in both splits, but he’s batting .330/.410/.545 against lefties with a .402 wOBA and a 156 wRC+. He draws southpaw Gio Gonzalez today.
Miguel Cabrera ($3,700) – The same theory with Bogaerts applies here with Miggy. Cabrera draws Danny Duffy, which isn’t an easy assignment for anybody, but this is a guy with a Hall of Fame career and a .307/.385/.546 slash on the season. He’s got 30 doubles and 34 dongs and now he also has 2,500 hits for his career. He’s slashing .303/.409/.524 against lefties this year.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 23:
Alex Meyer ($4,000) – This is a gamble that you don’t have to take with a limited number of expensive arms on the board, but it’s one that you can roll the dice on if you want. Meyer has 20 strikeouts in his 16 innings and he punched out seven over five innings last time out against a similar Toronto lineup. The Astros strike out quite a bit and have a lot of aggressive right-handed hitters. Meyer could surprise today.
Miguel Gonzalez ($5,700) – I’ve gone over this Miguel Gonzalez thing a lot of late. He gave up 20 of his 52 earned runs in three starts earlier this season. Other than those three bad outings that spanned 14 innings, Gonzalez has a 2.66 ERA in his other 18 starts. The Indians aren’t hitting much right now. They’re getting a couple guys on and hitting dingers or scratching out runs with back-to-back doubles. Gonzalez doesn’t miss a ton of bats, so maybe that catches up with him, but he’s been very reliable.
Zach Davies ($7,400) – The season that Zack Davies is putting together has been really impressive. The Milwaukee right-hander has a 3.92 ERA with a 3.86 FIP and a 3.96 xFIP. As his workload has increased, he’s actually gotten stronger and has shown better control and command. He has a 3.72 ERA in the second half and has held opponents under a .400 SLG. He’s a great streaming option against the lowly Reds today.