There are 11 games on the MLB card for Thursday, with a day/night doubleheader at Target Field between the Tigers and Twins accounting for that 11th game. Ten teams are enjoying what is likely their final off day during the 2016 MLB season. The playoff push is officially on with just 10 days left in the season. Football is back tonight, with one game in the NFL and one game in college, but there’s a lot of baseball to consider as well. Let’s see what the DFS marketplace has in store for tonight.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 22:
Cleveland – The Indians will get Jason Vargas and a bunch of bullpen arms on Thursday night as they go for the sweep of the Kansas City Royals. Two thrilling one-run games have been played in this series so far, but it’s time for one of these offenses to go off. Vargas will likely be limited to around 55 pitches in this start. He BABIP’d his way to three decent innings in his first start with just one strikeout and a lot of balls in play. He’s regularly been a low-strikeout guy, so we’ll see if the Indians can take advantage of him and a bunch of no-name relievers that follow.
Boston – This will be the third start for Chris Tillman since he came back from injury. He’s thrown the ball well with a 10/2 K/BB ratio and four runs allowed over 11.2 innings of work. Unfortunately, he draws the toughest assignment in the league with the Red Sox. Boston smells blood in the water here and there’s a lot of pressure on Tillman to help the Orioles keep pace. Tillman was terrific at the start of the season and has been very Jekyll and Hyde since. If we get bad Tillman, it could get ugly.
Atlanta – We’ll see if there’s a letdown for the Braves after their huge win over the Mets on Wednesday night, but there shouldn’t be. This is a team that has been terrific against right-handed pitchers in the second half and they take on Jose Urena, a right-handed pitcher with a 5.59/4.38/4.64 pitcher slash on the season. Urena doesn’t miss a whole lot of bats, so we could get some favorable BABIP variance here that helps Atlanta put a lot of traffic on the bases.
Here are the top value hitters for September 22:
Albert Pujols ($3,800) – There’s still some gas left in the tank for Albert Pujols. The future Hall of Famer is slashing .285/.311/.498 in the second half and he has another 30+ HR season under his belt. With a matchup against Mike Fiers at Minute Maid Park, Pujols definitely has some upside here today at a very reasonable price.
Evan Gattis ($3,900) – Another right-handed slugger has some upside in that game and it’s Evan Gattis. Gattis has a 30-homer season as well and he’s been swinging an excellent stick lately, with six home runs over his last 10 games. Ricky Nolasco isn’t exactly a power pitcher, so there’s a good chance that Gattis keeps swinging away and keeps connecting.
Dansby Swanson ($3,300) – There hasn’t been a whole lot of power production from Dansby Swanson as of yet, but he’s made solid contact and he’s looked like the promising young hitter that he is. Saving money at key positions like shortstop, first base, and outfielder can really help with the rest of your lineup and Swanson brings a .314/.363/.422 slash to the table.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 22:
Seth Lugo ($6,700) – Seth Lugo is pretty much a must-stream until he has a bad start or his price gets out of whack. He’s made six starts and hasn’t given up more than three runs in any of them. He has some strikeout per inning upside, though he’s more of a four or five K over five or six innings type of guy. Either way, he’s been reliable and this is still a reasonable price for him.
Chase Anderson ($5,900) – Chase Anderson is trying to finish this season on a high note and it would be big for his confidence to do that. He’s allowed three runs or less in every start since June 28 and he actually has 38 K in his last 46 innings, so he’s been missing a few more bats. The Pirates have some good offensive pieces, but hopefully Anderson can keep them at bay.
Ervin Santana ($9,000) – It’ll be interesting to see what Detroit’s lineups look like today with the doubleheader, but it should be a good spot for Ervin Santana nonetheless. Santana has struck out 58 over his last 56 innings and he’s having a terrific season for a bad Twins team. He has a 3.38 ERA and a 3.80 FIP on the year.