It’s a college football Saturday, but it’s also an MLB Saturday and we’ve got baseball throughout the day with some big playoff implications. We’ll dedicate our DFS focus to the 10 games coming up this evening to make things easier with the lead time of the article and to give us a bigger sample size. There are only 15 days left in the regular season, so time is winding down to take advantage of the daily fantasy baseball market.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 17:
Los Angeles Dodgers – The Dodgers didn’t do a whole lot against Zack Greinke yesterday, but they have an excellent matchup against Shelby Miller today. Miller is up to 7.12 with his ERA and has a 5.07 FIP with a 5.02 xFIP. Miller’s stats across the board are pretty awful and the Dodgers should be able to take full advantage. In three starts since returning to the big leagues, Miller has allowed 13 runs in 15.1 innings of work, so the command still isn’t there.
St. Louis – Jeff Samardzija is really overpriced today, which means that the Cardinals hitters should come in at a fairly nice bargain. Samardzija has been pretty streaky this season, but he has a 4.07 ERA with a 4.03 FIP and a 4.14 xFIP. From May 30 until now, a span of 19 starts, he has a 5.03 ERA with a 4.69 FIP and a 4.51 xFIP. He’s given up 18 home runs in those 112.2 innings of work.
Baltimore – Matt Andriese has been awful recently. He got back on track a little bit in his last start against the Yankees, but it hasn’t been pretty for the right-hander otherwise. From August 7 to September 5, Andriese posted a 9.30 ERA with a 5.68 FIP and allowed 10 home runs in 30 innings. If there’s anything we know about the Orioles, it’s that they have some great power in that lineup. The margins are razor-thin for Andriese, so this is definitely worth a gamble.
Here are the top value hitters for September 17:
Justin Bour ($3,600) – Justin Bour missed some time and the Marlins really fell apart while he and Giancarlo Stanton were out. Bour’s carved out a pretty good niche as a guy that bashes right-handed pitching. Bour has 692 plate appearances against RHP in his career, which is a little bit more than a full season’s worth of plate appearances for an everyday player. In that span, he has a .271/.341/.503 slash with 39 home runs and 119 RBI. He’s definitely worth a look here against Jeremy Hellickson.
Brandon Belt ($3,600) – We’ll go right back to the well with Brandon Belt here. Belt had a solid night on Friday with double digits in DraftKings formats and he’s got another solid matchup here against Mike Leake. Leake is really reliant on batted ball luck, so the Giants should get some traffic on the bases, with Belt in a position to do damage. Belt is a .272/.390/.463 hitter this season and a .333/.459/.500 over his last 10 games.
Edwin Encarnacion ($4,000) – When you can get power like this at a reasonable price, it’s always worth pursuing. Ricky Nolasco has allowed a .280/.315/.486 slash to righties and they have hit 18 of the 26 home runs that he has allowed. Edwin Encarnacion is having a monster season with 40 jacks and 118 RBI.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 17:
Seth Lugo ($5,900) – There’s not a ton of fight left in the Twins when they can’t dictate the AL Central playoff race. That’s why Seth Lugo is an excellent streaming candidate today. The right-hander is dealing with a blister issue, so that is a concern, but he’s given up three runs or less in each of his five starts. He’s done a masterful job of filling in for a banged-up Mets rotation and he’s a perfect value play here today.
Miguel Gonzalez ($7,000) – Some fluky things happened in Miguel Gonzalez’s last start, but he still managed to hang around and throw a quality start. Gonzalez has a 3.82 ERA with a 3.79 FIP on the season and he has given up 20 of his 49 earned runs allowed in three of his 20 starts. He’s only given up 29 runs in the other 17 starts and he’s been really undervalued all around this season.
Jon Gray ($7,600) – Streaming Coors Field pitchers is a really dangerous game, but Jon Gray has a ton of strikeout upside and he’s facing a Padres lineup that hasn’t hit righties all season long. Gray is definitely a risky stream, but he has only allowed 16 home runs in 149.2 innings this season, so he’s forcing hitters to string together innings. Perhaps the Padres struggle with that today.