Tuesday’s MLB slate brings us the standard 15 games with all 7:05 p.m. ET or later start times. The MLB Trade Deadline is another day closer and that means more uncertainty with some of the teams and players around the league. As mentioned on Monday, it’s probably a good idea to avoid the players that are very clearly on the trade block because there’s no telling what kind of mindset they have. As always, there’s value on the board and we’ll find it.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for July 21:
Cleveland – It’s time for the Indians offense to break out and Matt Garza is a good place for it to start. Matt Garza returns from the disabled list after some shoulder discomfort to face the Indians on Tuesday. Garza has had a declining skill set for a while now and he is showing the worst command of his career this season. Garza has a .317 BABIP against, 17 home runs allowed in 99 innings, and a poor line drive rate against. Lefties are batting .294/.362/.479 off of him on the season.
Houston – The Red Sox had a rough day on Monday and it doesn’t look to get any easier on Tuesday. Brian Johnson will take the mound for the Red Sox and he has only thrown five innings over the last 26 days. The Astros offense has been inconsistent of late. Brian Johnson has some solid MiLB numbers with good command, but a lot of that is at the lower levels and the jump to the bigs is a huge step.
Colorado – Could there possibly be a worse place for Matt Harrison to make his second start of the season? Harrison made 32 starts in 2012, two in 2013, four in 2014, and one in 2015 at the Major League level. Overall, Harrison has made 19 total starts across all four levels over the last three seasons. The Rockies are generally a team to avoid against lefties, but this seems like a different situation. A guy still trying to work on his command pitching at Coors Field is definitely a unique opportunity and one that should work out in your favor.
Here are the top value hitters for July 21:
Kyle Schwarber ($3,200) – Schwarber had a respectable day with a knock, a walk, and a run and went down by a couple hundred bucks on DraftKings for his matchup against Raisel Iglesias on Tuesday. Iglesias struggled with his command in his first start off the DL from an oblique injury prior to the All-Star Break. He has flashed decent stuff at the MLB level, but he’s hitting quite a few barrels when he doesn’t locate and that gives Schwarber plenty of upside with his power. Once again, his C/OF eligibility adds value.
Yasiel Puig ($3,100) – If we’re looking for cheap upside, which is the point of this daily article, look no farther than Yasiel Puig. Yeah, he’s struggling. Yeah, he’s in an uncomfortable situation in Los Angeles. But taking his potential and upside in a one-game sample at this price is almost always worthy of consideration. Puig draws Alex Wood on Tuesday. Puig has a .293/.395/.456 slash against lefties in his career. This year, even with the struggles, (small sample size alert) he has a .281/.395/.438 in 38 PA. He’s underpriced any way you cut it.
Jarrod Dyson ($2,900) – Runners are 45-for-61 in stealing bases off of Gerrit Cole in his MLB career so far and 36-for-47 over the last two seasons. Perhaps Jarrod Dyson can steal, pardon the pun, some value with a bag or two for the Royals on Tuesday night. Dyson can put the bat on the ball and get a slap single or two and wind up being a good value play.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 21:
Joe Ross ($5,000) – Joe Ross is undoubtedly the top value play on the board for Tuesday night. Ross’s MLB strikeout performance over 20.1 innings is probably not sustainable, but the 22-year-old has shown very good control and average to above command in the minor leagues. He’s Tyson Ross’s younger brother, not that it has any bearing on his pitching, but there’s a great fastball with an above average slider in there. The Mets aren’t hitting much right now anyway, but Ross has all sorts of upside in short bursts.
Chris Heston ($8,600) – Righties are batting just .229/.289/.313 against Heston this series and we all know how right-handed heavy the San Diego Padres are. Heston seems to be getting stronger as the season has gone on and his strikeout numbers have been pretty consistent month-by-month. The Padres are on a nice little run, but there’s still a lot of uncertainty in that clubhouse and this should be the end of their winning streak.
Alex Wood ($6,500) – The Los Angeles Dodgers have the second-best offense in baseball against righties. Against lefties? Not so much. They rank 12th in wOBA and are above average by wRC+, but they get a lot of respect regardless of who they play, and Alex Wood is underpriced here. The fact that Wood has managed to post a respectable ERA with such a big drop in strikeouts speaks to the caliber of his stuff. There’s definitely value in him at this price and, like Ross, you could combine him with a top arm.