It’s another rare Monday on the diamond because all 30 teams are in action. Monday Night Football will overshadow the full 15-game slate to be played tonight, but a new round of series kicks off for just about everybody and a new week means we are even closer to the start of the postseason. Those that are still playing along each and every day with daily fantasy definitely deserve a medal for their perseverance. That’s what we’re doing and we’ve got a new set of value picks for you today.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 12:
New York Yankees – I’m going to roll the dice here on an angle that I’ve played in the past that has had success. The Yankees draw the uber-talented Jose De Leon in this start. De Leon threw six impressive innings in his debut, but now the 24-year-old makes a start in an AL park and it’s not just any AL park, it’s Yankee Stadium. The bright lights get brighter here and the mental hurdles can be tough to overcome. De Leon did give up a homer in his first outing and he also struggled to get out of jams. There’s reason to believe he’ll struggle here.
Colorado – The Rockies obviously aren’t as prolific on offense when they are away from home, but Chase Field and Shelby Miller are a good combination to stack against. Miller now sports a 6.89 ERA with a 5.28 FIP and a 5.08 xFIP on the season. In two starts since returning to the big leagues, Miller has allowed seven runs on 17 hits in 10.1 innings of work with only five strikeouts. He’s still not missing bats and it’s hard to have BABIP luck with awful command.
Chicago Cubs – Mike Leake toes the rubber for the Cardinals today against the Cubs. Leake missed an extended period of time from August 21 to September 7 while dealing with an illness, so it’s likely that he’s not back to being himself just yet. In that September 7 start, he allowed three runs on nine hits over 4.1 innings of work. He did well to minimize damage, but he hasn’t minimized damage much this season with a 4.61 ERA over his 26 starts. The Cubs are one of the best lineups in baseball. Their downfall is the strikeout, but Leake doesn’t record a whole lot of those.
Here are the top value hitters for September 12:
Yuli Gurriel ($2,700) – It seems disingenuous to call 32-year-old Yuli Gurriel a rookie, but he’s off to a great start during his rookie season. He’s batting .339/.365/.542 so far in 63 plate appearances and has shown some big power, including a home run off of Andrew Miller. Gurriel is a great option tonight against Martin Perez. He makes a lot of hard contact and pitchers haven’t made too many adjustments to facing him. He also has power at a cheap price.
Chris Carter ($3,400) – In 84.2 career MLB innings, Keyvius Sampson has allowed 14 home runs. He also has a 5.53 ERA with a 5.22 FIP and a 5.08 xFIP. He’s posted a 75/47 K/BB ratio. A lot of things are in Chris Carter’s favor based off of those numbers. Carter is a low average/high OBP guy with 33 home runs on the season. His OBP is nearly 100 points above his average, so he does draw walks and hit dingers, two things Sampson struggles with.
Tyler Naquin ($3,500) – Tyler Naquin has been struggling since pitchers have made adjustments. He’s getting a lot of fastballs up in the zone and he’s had a lot of trouble with velocity. He’s actually one of the best breaking ball hitters in baseball. That’s good because more than half of Miguel Gonzalez’s pitches this season have been sliders, curveballs, and changeups. That plays right into Naquin’s hands and he could have a breakout game here today.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 12:
Miguel Gonzalez ($5,600) – Miguel Gonzalez has made 19 starts this season and he’s given up 20 of his 46 earned runs in just three of those starts. We obviously can’t take away those bad outings, but Gonzalez’s 3.81 ERA is a little bit misleading in that he’s posted a 2.50 ERA in his other 16 outings. He just threw 6.1 shutout against Detroit in his first start back off the DL and the Indians offense has yet to see him this season.
Andrew Cashner ($6,300) – If we can get some BABIP luck from Andrew Cashner, he could be a sneaky good option tonight. The right-hander has struck out 46 batters in his last 49.1 innings, so that’s a good return on investment, but he just hasn’t had a lot of sequencing luck this year. Cashner did strike out nine in 5.1 innings last time out and he draws the lowly Braves today. If the Marlins defense holds up its end, we could be looking at a very good score.
Daniel Norris ($7,000) – Daniel Norris still has some work to do on being efficient, but he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any appearance, which includes nine starts, at the big league level this season. He’s not a huge strikeout threat, although he does have 40 in 45.2 innings of work. Since his August 9 recall, Norris has a 3.58 ERA with a 3.97 FIP over 32.2 innings of work.