On the first NFL Sunday of the season, baseball takes a backseat. It won’t here at BangTheBook.com, because we’ll still have our daily fantasy tips and suggestions and also our picks and analysis write-up. The season ends three weeks from today on October 2. We’ll miss it and we’ll miss the opportunities to make money in the DFS marketplace. But, until that time, we’ll keep bringing you the insight and information that you’ve come to expect from us.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 11:
Texas – If it’s a day ending in –y with Jered Weaver on the mound, you know what to do. The Rangers should be the benefactors of Sunday’s assignment. The soon-to-be 34-year-old owns a 5.37 ERA with a 5.78 FIP and a 5.79 xFIP on the season. Angel Stadium hasn’t even been a refuge this season, as Weaver has allowed a .312/.350/.534 slash in the friendly confines. It’s a major upset anytime Weaver is actually effective and he probably won’t be today.
Seattle – Raul Alcantara’s first MLB start was a disaster and he takes on an even better team in this outing. Alcantara gave up five runs on five hits, hit three, and walked one in his debut. The nerves won’t be as bad today, but this is still a guy that hasn’t missed many bats at any MiLB level, so his margin for error is very thin. By wOBA, the Mariners are eighth against right-handed pitching, but they are fifth by wRC+.
San Francisco – It’s a lost season for Zack Greinke and he’s just ready for it to be over. Unlike other guys that struggle, I feel like Greinke won’t be too worried about making adjustments and will just want to wipe the slate clean. He has a 4.54 ERA with a 4.00 FIP and a 3.83 xFIP. He strikes me as the type that will just focus on his talent and expect things to turn around next season. Even against a slumping San Fran offense, stacking against him seems to hold value today.
Here are the top value hitters for September 11:
Manny Machado ($3,400) – Manny Machado is an elite hitter and this price tag is a true bargain, regardless of opposition. Machado is capable of hitting any pitcher and getting one of the game’s premier 3B, especially with dual SS eligibility, is really great at a number like this. Machado owns a .305/.357/.558 slash on the season with 34 dingers. He’s regularly priced in the $5000s, so this is a steal.
Marcus Semien ($3,400) – When you can catch Marcus Semien against a lefty at a price like this, you had better take advantage. Semien has hit 10 of his 23 home runs against lefties in just 134 plate appearances this season. Against southpaws, Semien is batting .276/.313/.551 on the season, with a .363 wOBA and a 131 wRC+. Last season, Semien batted .329/.372/.507 against lefties.
David Freese ($3,400) – A trio of players at this price point today, as we look at David Freese against left Brandon Finnegan. Freese has just 92 PA against LHP this season, but he owns a .329/.402/.561 slash against them. For his career, Freese is a .300/.371/.471 hitter with the platoon advantage, with a .366 wOBA and a 134 wRC+.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 11:
Luke Weaver ($4,800) – Luke Weaver’s MLB career is off to a very solid start. He has a 3.96 ERA with a 4.11 FIP and a 2.92 xFIP in his five starts covering 25 innings. Weaver has 31 K in those 25 innings. That pace is very unlikely to continue, but he’s had good control in MLB and also the minor leagues and the Brewers don’t generate a lot of offense without the help of walks. Weaver is a bargain at this price today.
Kenta Maeda ($9,500) – Kenta Maeda should be good to go today against the Marlins. He has a 3.29 ERA with a 3.58 FIP and a 3.70 xFIP on the season. Marlins Park is a very forgiving venue for pitchers and the Marlins lineup still isn’t back to full strength. Maeda has 156 K in 153 innings of work this season, so that’s a good return on investment at this price point.
Chris Sale ($13,100) – There are four pitchers with lofty price tags today and Chris Sale is the best of the bunch. A pairing of Luke Weaver and Chris Sale, plus the three value hitters above, would leave DFS players with an average of $4,380 per player the rest of the way. That’s an excellent start. With Sale, he’s pitching for the Cy Young, so racking up personal stats is his goal, and that should mean some strikeouts and some dominance against a really weak Kansas City lineup.