The Major League Baseball card for Friday night features 15 games and all 30 teams. It’s also a great day for pitching up and down the schedule, so we should be treated to some good action this evening. Since everybody’s in a gambling mood now with the return of the NFL and Week 2 of the college football season on the horizon, you’re probably itching to get some skin in the DFS game tonight. We’ll help you with tonight’s set of value picks.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 9:
San Francisco – Stacking the Giants is pretty risky, but once you consider the situation, it makes some sense. Rubby de la Rosa is back in the big leagues after an extended stint on the disabled list for an elbow injury. The inconsistent right-hander was figuring it out a little bit before he got hurt, as he had over a strikeout per inning and a really nice 3.71 xFIP. He made a rookie league start in early August and had a setback that delayed him another month and then he worked three innings in High-A Visalia. Basically, RDLR hasn’t pitched much lately, so expect him to struggle and then a terrible Diamondbacks bullpen will take over.
Baltimore – I’ve been looking for Michael Fulmer regression a few times this season, but it hasn’t come. Tonight brings another chance against a very good lineup. Fulmer has a 2.77 ERA with a 3.79 FIP and a 3.90 xFIP. He’s thriving on a .257 BABIP and an 81.2 percent strand rate. He’s worked over 150 innings this season, which is a career high by a large margin and all signs point to him struggling sometime soon. If you stack Baltimore, hopefully that day is tonight.
Detroit – I do feel like one of these two offenses goes off tonight, which means it’ll probably be a 2-1 game. This isn’t a good matchup at all for Kevin Gausman and I have no idea why he’s priced the way he is. Gausman has some significant reverse platoon splits this year and it’s now a two-year trend. Righties hit .275/.317/.526 last season and are hitting .285/.345/.495 this season. Detroit is loaded with right-handed sticks, including some of their most productive hitters.
Here are the top value hitters for September 9:
Justin Upton ($3,500) – The Tigers are still in the thick of the playoff race and the resurgence of Justin Upton is a big reason why. Upton is up to 22 HR on the season and has been gradually increasing all of his other stats as well. Over the last 10 games, Upton has a .333/.415/.778 slash with five home runs. As mentioned above, Kevin Gausman has some serious reverse splits, so Upton could stay hot today.
Max Kepler ($3,900) – The Twins haven’t had many silver linings to be excited about this season, but Max Kepler seems to be one. He’s hit 14 home runs in just 261 plate appearances against righties this season and that’s what makes him an attractive streaming option against Danny Salazar. Kepler has a .261/.337/.513 slash with the platoon advantage on the season.
Marcell Ozuna ($2,800) – It is Clayton Kershaw on the hill for the Dodgers here today, but how sharp can we expect him to be in his first start back from the DL? We’re getting some serious value here on Marcell Ozuna, who has 10 HR in just 119 PA against lefties. He’s slashing .304/.345/.634 with a platoon advantage on the season and he’s been 55 percent above league average in this split.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 9:
Hisashi Iwakuma ($6,500) – It might be a tough spot for the Mariners to go to Oakland to take on the Athletics after a big series against the Rangers, but it helps to have a polished veteran on the mound. Hisashi Iwakuma has been allowing more fly balls this season, so his home run rate has gone up a little bit, hurting his ERA. O.co Coliseum is pretty forgiving in that respect, so Iwakuma should be able to throw a solid start with a few strikeouts and a lot of innocent contact.
Michael Pineda ($7,400) – I can’t believe I’m going to fall for this again, but if Michael Pineda can’t shut down the Rays, there’s something seriously wrong. I said this the last time he faced them and he didn’t shut down the Rays. At the very least, Pineda has 172 K in 151.2 innings of work, so you’re getting some strikeout upside at a good price against a lineup that hasn’t hit righties all season.
Steven Brault ($4,000) – With so many high-priced arms, Steven Brault is worth some consideration to pair with one of the aces. Brault has issued too many walks, but he’s also struck out 17 in his 19 innings. The Reds offense has been pretty bad in recent weeks, so he draws the right type of lineup to stream at this bargain bin price. It’s not an ideal spot, but if you want to save money to take one of the premier arms, sometimes you have to bite the bullet.