College football will be the primary focus for most people today, but daily fantasy players are creatures of habit and they will continue their daily routines, even with the full slate on the gridiron. As such, we’ll keep our daily routine and bring you a set of top DFS tips and suggestions to help with those final few lineup decisions. There will be a lot of decisions to make here the rest of the way based on lineup and roster construction, so keep checking back each and every day. We’ll focus on the 11 night games, just to make it easier.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 3:
Colorado - You know what Coors Field means and the impact that it can have on scoring. That impact should be even greater with Braden Shipley on the hill for the Rockies. Shipley already has a 4.75 ERA with a 5.84 FIP and an xFIP that suggests he’s simply not ready for the big leagues. When it comes to Arizona and pitching, there’s not much hope right now. Shipley has never made a start at Coors Field and we know that there’s a learning curve that goes into surviving the high altitude.
Pittsburgh - I’ve been looking to exploit Jimmy Nelson is the DFS marketplace and it’s gone pretty well over the last couple of months. Nelson is up to a 4.45 ERA with a 4.96 FIP and a 4.87 xFIP. For a while, Nelson was staying steady with an ERA under 3.75, but he has a 6.45 ERA in the second half because opposing batters are posting an OBP over .400. That’s right. Batters are reaching in over 40 percent of their plate appearances over a decent sample size.
Seattle - Today in “I don’t get this price”, Tyler Skaggs is priced at $8,800, which is seventh among all pitchers. As we’ve discussed, the perception of Seattle is that they can’t hit lefties, yet they have a wRC+ on the plus side of average. Skaggs bounced back in his last outing, but he allowed 19 runs over his previous four starts. The Mariners offense has really been firing on all cylinders lately and I’d look for it to continue.
Here are the top value hitters for September 3:
Franklin Gutierrez ($3,100) - This is what I mean about not getting Skaggs’s price. Some good Mariners options are going to come in at a cheaper price here today. One of those is Franklin Gutierrez. You may scoff at Gutierrez being a good hitter, and, overall, he’s not, but, he excels on the short side of the platoon and these are often the guys we isolate. Gutierrez has a .280/.372/.509 slash against southpaws this season, including 10 of his 12 dingers.
Victor Martinez ($3,700) - At 37 years of age, Victor Martinez is still out there raking. The former catcher turned DH is slashing .301/.357/.504 from the left side this season with 17 of his 23 home runs. Martinez is such a smart and savvy hitter that the regression train chasing Yordano Ventura down the tracks may catch up with him here today and V-Mart would be a big part of the action.
Steve Pearce ($4,000) - It seems like the algorithms have caught up with our fun and games with Steve Pearce, but he’s such a valuable weapon in all games against left-handed starters that paying a little bit of a premium is okay. Pearce mauls lefties to the tune of a .338/.424/.676 slash on the season. His overall offensive performance against southpaws is 92 percent above league average. That’s good at any price.
Here are the top value pitchers for September 3:
Trevor Bauer ($8,100) - Upside at a low price is virtually non-existent today, so our starting point is Trevor Bauer. Bauer has been hit or miss at times this season, but the Marlins have been a bottom five offense in several categories, most notably wOBA, since the All-Star Break. It’s a good matchup for Bauer against a team that is unfamiliar with his unique arsenal and he’ll have the competitive juices flowing to go up against an elite arm like Jose Fernandez.
Ivan Nova ($8,900) - Normally, we look for strikeout upside in our value picks, but sometimes solid is worth the price of admission. Ivan Nova has been solid for the Pirates thus far, as he’s gotten back to ground balls over his last couple of starts and has not issued free baserunners. Nova has a 2.87/3.18/3.44 pitcher slash with the Pirates and he’s been a big benefactor of the improved infield defense and the shifts.
Vince Velasquez ($8,300) - We do have a couple of reasonable strikeout arms in the $8000 range with Bauer and Vince Velasquez. Velasquez draws the Atlanta Braves, which is valuable in and of itself, but he also has 144 K in 124 innings of work. He’s getting a little bit stronger as the season progresses after a mid-season DL stint and he’s only got a handful of starts left because the Phillies are monitoring his innings. That adds some motivation at this time of the year.