It’s time for another look at a full menu for daily fantasy players. All 30 teams are in action this evening, so we’ve got plenty of time to examine the matchups and wait on the lineups to make sure that the guys we want are going to be getting plate appearances this evening. Today’s pitching slate is loaded compared to the ones that we’ve had over the last few days, so pitching is expensive and hitting is a little bit cheaper than it has been.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 30:
Toronto – Even though there are some great arms on the mound tonight, the cheapest pitchers are among the worst in the league. One of them is Ubaldo Jimenez. He worked six strong innings last time out, but nobody expects that from him on a regular basis. Jimenez has a 6.62 ERA with a 4.71 FIP and a 4.93 xFIP. In a career filled with shoddy control, he’s actually posting the worst BB/9 of his career this season. The Blue Jays should have plenty of traffic on the bases and we’ll play to the sequencing gods that they drive it in.
Atlanta – Say what?! Well, look, nobody is stacking the Atlanta Braves, so if they go off on Edwin Jackson, you’ll be sitting pretty with a contrarian stack that cost you next to nothing. Even with seven shutout innings mixed in, Jackson has allowed 22 runs over his last five starts on 36 hits with 12 walks. He doesn’t miss many bats, but he misses the strike zone a lot. In those low-risk, high-reward GPPs, sometimes going against the grain is worth the small investment.
Houston – I like Kendall Graveman, but he’s riding the rails of the Regression Train right now. Dating back to June 12, which is a span of 92.1 innings, Graveman has a 3.02 ERA with a 3.92 FIP and a 4.38 xFIP. He has a .261 BABIP with a 53.5 percent GB%, so his xBABIP (expected BABIP) has to be up around, if not over, .300. He’s only struck out 45 in that span, so he’s living on an immense amount of batted ball luck. You would think that would run out, particularly with an Oakland team that ranks far and away last in defensive runs saved and UZR.
Here are the top value hitters for August 30:
Josh Bell ($2,200) – We’ll have to see how much playing time to 24-year-old gets down the stretch for Pittsburgh, but he’s had a lot of promising minor league numbers at every stop on his development path. Bell posted a .295/.382/.468 in the stingier of the two Triple-A leagues in 484 plate appearances. Last season, Bell owned a .317/.393/.446 slash between Double-A and Triple-A. He slashed .334/.319/.401 against righties last year and he’s slashing .318/.408/.510 against righties this year.
Rob Segedin ($3,000) – With Josh Reddick’s platoon splits and struggles, Rob Segedin is getting some more looks for the Dodgers. The 27-year-old is making the most of his first MLB stint and he has a chance to add to it today against southpaw Tyler Anderson. Segedin is batting .348/.412/.617 against lefties in 131 PA between Triple-A and the bigs this year. He did a similar thing last year with a .341/.386/.488 in 88 plate appearances, so he’s a good platoon option, especially in the thin air.
Ryan Rua ($3,300) – We’ve uncovered another guy that excels on the short side of the platoon that can give you some cheap production today. Ryan Rua has a .303/.379/.449 slash in 103 plate appearances against lefties on the season and he draws left-hander James Paxton in this outing. Guys that hit lefties well and occasionally play against righties are always going to carry value because their average point output will be a little on the low side.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 30:
Seth Lugo ($4,100) – Seth Lugo cramped up during his last start, but his five impressive innings against St. Louis were a good response to the quality start he threw in his first outing. At this price point, Lugo won’t rattle off a 20-point day or anything, but he should give you the points you need at a low price to pair him with one of today’s aces. If he can replicate last start’s strikeout per inning, he could be a really profitable addition.
Collin McHugh ($6,000) – The Jekyll and Hyde season for Collin McHugh has made it difficult to roster him in DFS formats. A visit from the lowly Oakland A’s might be just enough to get him added to the lineup. McHugh has almost a strikeout per inning this season, but his command has been subpar and he’s given up too many home runs. The A’s are a bad offensive ballclub and rank 22nd in home runs, so there’s some hope that McHugh can put it together tonight.
Rich Hill ($7,000) – There are a lot of reasons to worry about Rich Hill tonight. Health is a big concern, since his blister may pop up again and you’ll be stuck with an inning or two from him. There’s also the Coors Field factor. There’s also the fact that the Rockies haven’t seen him and he has 93 strikeouts in 82 innings. This is a total risk-reward play. If you feel the risk is worth the reward, then this is a great price for a high-upside arm.