Wipe the sleep from your eyes and get that daily fantasy lineup settled for Sunday. Eleven of today’s 15 games are day games, so it’s going to be a fairly quick turnaround here this afternoon. The most expensive pitcher in DraftKings formats is less than $10,000 today, so it appears to be a good day for the hitters, but watch out for those days off and weird lineups. We’re ready to strap in for another day on the diamond, so let’s see what we can find.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 28:
San Diego – This is a risky stack in that the Padres are playing day baseball a long way from home, but it’s not risky in terms of the matchup. The Padres draw southpaw Justin Nicolino, who has one of the worst strikeout rates among starters in quite some time. He allows a lot of contact and that always creates the possibility for a team to go off. It doesn’t hurt that the Padres are seventh in wOBA against lefties and just outside the top five in wRC+. This is as good of a matchup as it gets for a team that hits southpaws.
Texas – There are serious concerns about the Cleveland rotation right now and that includes Danny Salazar. Since his return from the disabled list for a sore elbow, Salazar has given up nine runs on nine hits with six walks and three strikeouts in just five innings of work. Texas has plenty of aggressive hitters and you know that the ball will carry well during the day in Arlington. It’s an awful spot for Salazar and you have to fade him until he turns it around.
Detroit – Everybody got all giddy about Tyler Skaggs when he returned from Tommy John and made two strong starts. It hasn’t been pretty since. Over his last four starts, covering 17.2 innings of work, Skaggs has allowed 19 runs on 29 hits with a 16/11 K/BB ratio. The right-handed-heavy Tigers should be able to have plenty of success this afternoon, as righties own a small sample size slash of .286/.381/.444 against Skaggs, with all three of the home runs that he has allowed.
Here are the top value hitters for August 28:
Steve Pearce ($2,800) – At prices like this, Steve Pearce must be streamed against left-handed pitchers. Pearce has five home runs and four doubles in 79 PA against LHP this season and has posted a .324/.418/.603 slash against them this season. He’s got a .424 wOBA and a 174 wRC+, so he’s been 74 percent above league average against lefties. CC Sabathia is the guy that he’ll face in this one and we know about his command problems as his career winds down.
Franklin Gutierrez ($3,400) – We’ll go back to the well with Franklin Gutierrez, who homered off of Chris Sale on Friday night. Gutierrez has become a high-quality platoon bat against lefties and those guys are often undervalued in DFS because their full-season numbers are not up to par. Gutierrez has 10 dingers in 177 PA against lefties with a .263/.356/.500 slash. He draws southpaw Carlos Rodon on Sunday.
Starlin Castro ($3,300) – The Yankees have some right-handed sticks capable of doing damage against Kevin Gausman. We’ll look at a cheap option at the pivot with second baseman Starlin Castro. Castro has been on a tear recently, hitting four home runs over his last 10 games. He’s got a great shot at 20 dingers as a second baseman, which is really impressive. Gausman’s got big reverse platoon splits, as righties hit .288/.350/.509 against him on the year.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 28:
Andrew Triggs ($4,000) – There’s some really intriguing upside with Andrew Triggs. Triggs is making just his fifth start of the season, but he struck out a lot of batters at ever stop in the minors and has 46 K in 49.1 IP on the season here so far. As a starter, Triggs has held the opposition to a .191/.214/.279 slash. It’s only 18.2 innings, but he also has a 13/1 K/BB ratio. There may be something here and he’s worth a gamble against the Cardinals on Sunday afternoon.
Ivan Nova ($8,000) – Ivan Nova is a little bit overpriced based on his year-to-date sample, but there’s something really advantageous about this start for him. Nova has allowed one walk in his first 25.1 innings with the Pirates. The Brewers, as a team, have pretty good walk rates and that’s how they generate offense. They’re not the type of team to string hits together. That means Nova has quite a bit of upside in this outing and he could be a great addition to your lineup.
Chris Archer ($9,900) – The Astros lineup is capable of going off at any time, but Chris Archer seems to be starting to put this thing together. Since the All-Star Break, Archer owns a 2.94 ERA with a 2.65 FIP and a 2.82 xFIP. Archer has 62 K and just 10 BB in those 52 innings of work. He’s only allowed three home runs over his last seven starts, an issue that plagued him earlier in the season, and he’s back to getting a high rate of ground balls. Everything is trending up, so he’s worth a look here today.