Major League Baseball schedule makers have been kind enough to give us a full day of games in order to get over the Hump Day blues. For our purposes, we’ll focus on the 10 night games on the slate from a daily fantasy perspective. We’re a week away from the end of August and the start of September call-ups, which will throw a new set of wrinkles into the fantasy landscape. For now, it remains status quo, so we’ll seek out the best options for August 24.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 24:
Washington – Wade Miley was a bad acquisition for the Orioles. He was a bad pitcher in a favorable environment in the AL West and, in particular, Safeco Field, so I’m not sure what they were expecting. In four starts with Baltimore, Miley owns a 9.53 ERA with a 4.97 FIP and a 4.36 xFIP. He gets a little bit of a break today in that the Orioles are in an NL park to face the Nationals, but he’s a subpar pitcher wherever he is. His only real value is in working a lot of innings. Expect the Nationals to go big today.
Boston – Matt Andriese’s return to the starting rotation hasn’t been a success. In four starts, Andriese has allowed 15 runs on 24 hits in 19 innings of work. Those aren’t numbers that will inspire a whole lot of confidence for a date with the Boston Red Sox. Andriese has had some success as a reliever that obscures his 4.08 ERA and 4.20 xFIP as a starter. The Red Sox are still the best offense in baseball against right-handed pitching by a wide margin.
Toronto – Matt Shoemaker was a great story earlier in the season, but he’s regressed in a pretty big way. Since July 3, Shoemaker has a pedestrian 4.17 ERA with a 4.55 xFIP. His strikeout gains from the middle of the season were not sustainable, as he has 41 strikeouts in 58.1 innings in that span. The Blue Jays are starting to get a little bit healthier and Rogers Centre is a good park for hitters. It could be a tough spot for Shoemaker and the Angels.
Here are the top value hitters for August 24:
Robbie Grossman ($3,700) – So far, Robbie Grossman has had the bulk of his success from the right side of the plate. The switch-hitting outfielder has had a rough second half, but it’s hard to overlook his .341/.420/.534 slash in 100 plate appearances against lefties this season. Matt Boyd is the Tigers starter and he throws left-handed, so this is a good matchup for Grossman, whose wRC+ of 159 is 59 percent above league average in this split.
Sandy Leon ($3,300) – It’ll be tough to find upside and production at the catcher position for this price point tonight. Sandy Leon has been a huge surprise for the Red Sox and he’s shown great numbers from both sides of the plate. Against righty Matt Andriese, Leon will bring a .350/.385/.563 slash to the batter’s box with him. For a weak offensive position, rolling the dice on an overachiever like this could be a fruitful endeavor.
Kevin Kiermaier ($2,900) – All seven of Kevin Kiermaier’s home runs have some against right-handed pitchers and he’s 12-for-14 in stolen base attempts this season, so he has some upside on Wednesday night. The Rays center fielder has battled some injury issues throughout the year, but he’s still managed to be above league average against righties. Kiermaier has posted solid numbers against righties each of the last three seasons.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 24:
Julio Teheran ($7,700) – It’s not a good night for picking value pitchers. We’ll start with a gamble on Julio Teheran, making his second start back from a lat injury. Teheran fought with his control a little bit in his first start back against the Nationals. There are some signs of regression there, but we’ve seen Teheran carry low BABIPs before, so I’m not that concerned. The Diamondbacks have been on a bit of a run, but they’re a bad team with a lot of internal turmoil, so I wouldn’t expect it to last. Arizona also pads its offensive stats against lefties. They are much worse against righties.
Marco Estrada ($8,000) – Fortunes have been changing for Marco Estrada of late, but a matchup against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim should get him back on track. Estrada has a 4.18 ERA in the second half with a .451 SLG against. The Angels don’t hit for a whole lot of power and we all know about Estrada’s skills in terms of inducing weak contact. He’s worth a look here tonight with limited pitching options at reasonable prices.
Carlos Martinez ($9,200) – In a battle of premier, young starters, I’m going to focus on Carlos Martinez. I love Jacob deGrom, but there are some defensive issues right now for the Mets. Martinez has a 3.24 ERA with a 3.74 FIP and a 3.98 xFIP, but you don’t have to worry about him posting a league average HR/FB% any time soon. Pitchers can fuel off of the competition of facing another top-notch starter and that’s the hope here in this spot.