There are a total of 11 games here on Thursday, as eight teams enjoy the spoils of a hard-earned day off. Many teams are down to two or three days off, so they will be cherishing those idle afternoons and evenings. Nine of the games start at 7:05 p.m. ET or later and those are the games that we will highlight for today’s daily fantasy baseball lineup tips article. It feels like a good day to grab a big cash in a GPP or build up the bankroll in 50/50s and H2Hs, so let’s figure out how to do that.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 18:
Arizona – The Diamondbacks were an excellent stack for us on Wednesday night and we’ll go back to the well on Thursday, even though they’re facing a right-handed hurler. That man is Paul Clemens and he owns a 4.73 ERA with a 7.44 FIP and a 5.59 xFIP on the season. It’s crazy to think that a guy with a 4.73 ERA could be that much worse, but he’s actually posted a .228 BABIP against and an 83.3 percent LOB% in 32.1 innings. A lot of that has to do with his high home run rate, but Clemens now has a 5.32/6.22/5.22 pitcher slash in 130.1 career MLB innings.
Washington – The Nationals draw Rob Whalen today, as Whalen looks to improve upon his 7.31 ERA. Whalen has a 5.58 FIP and a 4.21 xFIP, as his K rate has been impressive so far, but his command simply hasn’t been there. There aren’t a lot of great stacking options and Whalen shows some signs of improvement, but he is facing Washington for the second straight start, so the Nationals fully know what to expect.
Los Angeles Angels – This is the contrarian option for tonight. A lot of people will make the obvious stacks, but the Angels might be able to do some damage against Hisashi Iwakuma. Kuma’s K rate is down this season and he’s got some minor regression in his 3.84/4.18/4.43 pitcher slash. Impressive starts against Boston and Detroit during the first eight days of August have skewed perception a little bit and have forced people to forget about his season-long inconsistencies.
Here are the top value hitters for August 18:
Hyun-Soo Kim ($3,700) – The Orioles have gotten a lot of production from Hyun-Soo Kim against right-handed pitching and he’ll face Joe Musgrove and the Astros on Thursday night. On the year, Kim owns a .344/.416/.467 slash with the platoon advantage, with a .385 wOBA and a 141 wRC+. He’s actually hitless in 16 at bats against lefties to drag his overall numbers down a few points.
Marcell Ozuna ($3,800) – It’s always a worthwhile idea to throw in a power hitter against an extreme fly ball pitcher. Fly ball guys will give up dingers and Marcell Ozuna is the best Marlin for the job. Ozuna has 21 dongs on the season with a .281/.337/.493 slash line. His resurgence has been huge for the Marlins and he’ll keep hitting in a premier spot in the lineup with Giancarlo Stanton sidelined. Dan Straily has allowed 19 HR in 139.1 innings.
Todd Frazier ($3,700) – Surprisingly, Todd Frazier has had a better season against righties than he has against lefties. Frazier has hit 23 of his 31 home runs against right-handed pitching this season and he draws Danny Salazar on Thursday. Salazar would seem like a tough matchup for Frazier, and he may turn out to be, but Salazar was scuffling for a while before he hit the DL for elbow discomfort. This is his first start back, so expect some command problems.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 18:
Reynaldo Lopez ($5,100) – The rookie right-hander will have to make some adjustments facing the Braves a second straight time, but he should get more comfortable with each start he makes at the big league level. Lopez has 15 K in 15.2 innings of work and threw the ball much better in that start against the Braves. At a price like this, Lopez allows you to roster Jacob deGrom, Jose Fernandez, or Madison Bumgarner, so he’s a worthwhile streaming option.
Tyler Duffey ($7,400) – This is more of a situational play. The Royals are coming off of a sweep of the Tigers. Maybe they got caught up in having a chance to dictate the AL Central standings. Now, they play the Twins, who have absolutely nothing to play for. Kansas City didn’t score much in that Detroit series and they haven’t scored much all year, as they are last in the AL in runs scored. Duffey has not pitched all that well this season, but he has 90 K in 108.2 innings, so a reasonable score is possible.
Joe Musgrove ($7,000) – I’m very skeptical of Joe Musgrove against an excellent Baltimore lineup, but his claim to fame is command and I’ll give him a chance today against the Orioles. Musgrove allowed 24 HR over 337.1 minor league innings with just 41 walks, which is insane. He throws strikes, quality ones at that, and keeps the ball in the park. That’s why he’s worth a gamble today.