Per usual, we’ve got a smaller schedule on Monday, as a handful of teams are taking the day off. There are 10 games in total, with makeup baseball in Cleveland and a dicey weather forecast for that one, but it’s the nine night games that will get our focus in daily fantasy baseball today. Today’s the halfway point of August, so we’re just over two weeks away from September call-ups. We’ll keep taking it one day at a time and that day is August 15.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 15:
Colorado – It’s a fun DFS dilemma when an elite-level starter like Max Scherzer is starting in Colorado. It might keep some people off of the Rockies and their loss may be your gain. If there’s anything we know about Max Scherzer this season, it’s that he’s missed a ton of bats, but he’s also hit a few too many barrels. Scherzer has allowed 24 HR in 163.2 innings of work. He gave up 27 HR in 228.2 innings last season. Home runs add up quickly, so if you stack the right guys, you could have a profitable day.
Toronto – I think Chad Green has some upside, but it’s tough to see past that ghastly HR rate at the big league level. Green has struck out over a batter per inning this season, but he’s given up eight HR in 27.1 big league innings this season. The Blue Jays aren’t as prolific offensively as they were last season, but this is a huge series opening up at Rogers Centre and they should get some good hacks in against Green.
Arizona – I’ve been thinking about Bartolo Colon regression for a little while and a road start in Arizona seems like a good place for it to happen. The ageless right-hander has a 3.35 ERA with a 3.99 FIP. His 78.3 percent LOB% is the highest since 2013, when he was in pitcher-friendly Oakland for half of his starts. His .289 BABIP against is the lowest since 2012. Colon, now 43, has faded in the second half in the past and that’s the expectation I have for him going forward.
Here are the top value hitters for August 15:
David Dahl ($3,000) – After a couple days with higher prices, David Dahl is back in range to be a value pick here on Monday. Dahl is batting .342/.388/.570 on the season so far in his 85 plate appearances. It’s also worth pointing out that Dahl has had 51 of those plate appearances away from Coors Field, so he should, in theory, be even more productive in the altitude. Max Scherzer will be an interesting matchup for the kid, but there’s undoubtedly value in this price.
Adam Lind ($3,100) – The Mariners have had a pretty good offensive team against right-handed pitching throughout the season and Adam Lind has been a key cog in those efforts. Against right-hander Ricky Nolasco, Lind will look to build off of his .445 SLG with the platoon split. He’s had some BABIP issues, with a .234 mark, so there’s also some hope that will regress positively the rest of the season. Sixteen of his 17 dingers are against RHP.
JD Martinez ($3,500) – It hasn’t really mattered which arm the pitcher throws with for JD Martinez this season. Now back from a shoulder injury, Martinez will look to improve upon his .295/.374/.525 slash against righties with Monday’s meeting against Ian Kennedy. Kennedy has given up a ton of long balls this season, so Martinez has a good chance to find the Comerica Park seats.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 15:
David Phelps ($4,000) – David Phelps has made two starts this season for the Marlins and he’s given up one run over 9.1 innings of work with nine strikeouts. He’s not a high-strikeout type of guy as a starter, but he’s plenty capable of giving you five or six innings with four or five strikeouts, which is a perfect line for a price point like this. Hitters are fairly expensive tonight, so saving some dollars on pitching might be in your best interest.
Robbie Ray ($9,600) – Maybe his last start was a sign of things to come. Robbie Ray draws a Mets team that has had issues with lefties all season long and Ray finally had some BABIP luck. He actually didn’t miss a whole lot of bats, but he has 156 K in 128 IP this season. Ray has the strikeout upside that you’re looking for in DFS formats, so hopefully he puts it to good use tonight.
Felix Hernandez ($9,100) – King Felix isn’t the hurler that he used to be, but the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim are back home from a miserable road trip and they’re carrying the anchor of a 10-game losing streak. The Mariners are firing on all cylinders right now, so Felix is a decent stream against an Angels lineup that isn’t scoring runs. Even though his K rate is down for the season, Hernandez has 27 K in 32.2 innings since he came off the DL.