Days off are precious at this time of the season. On Monday, 12 teams have the privilege of enjoying a day off with the family or a day to travel without having to play a game. That leaves us with 18 teams and rosters to pick from for those August 8 DFS contests. There are a lot of different approaches based on the type of contest entered, but one thing always remains the same. You want the best bang for your buck.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 8:
Baltimore – There are a lot of pitchers that get really fortunate with batted balls and wind up with numbers that are a lot better than their true talent level. Kendall Graveman falls into that category. Graveman’s year-to-date numbers aren’t great, with a 4.46 ERA, a 4.65 FIP, and a 4.53 xFIP. That’s why what stands out is so important. Prior to his last start, in which he allowed six runs on nine hits in four innings, Graveman had a 3.38 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, and a 4.49 xFIP in his previous 13 starts. That was unsustainable and his last start won’t be the only visit from the Regression Monster.
Seattle – Is Michael Fulmer’s regression ever going to come? If it does, you want to be prepared. Among pitchers with at least 80 innings worked this season, Fulmer’s 1.34 ERA-FIP discrepancy is the biggest in baseball by a sizable margin. Fulmer also has a 3.87 xFIP and a 3.98 SIERA. He’s running very well with a .250 BABIP against and an 83.7 percent strand rate. At some point, he’ll run into a blow-up start. This may be it.
Minnesota – It’s not expensive to stack the Minnesota Twins and it could net a pretty interesting return. Collin McHugh is pretty hit or miss this season because of constant command problems. He has a .360 BABIP against and has still allowed 17 home runs in 121.2 innings of work. McHugh is the opposite of Fulmer, in that his stats suggest positive regression, but his command simply hasn’t been there to bank on that.
Here are the top value hitters for August 8:
Jhonny Peralta ($3,500) – It might take a little bit of time for Jhonny Peralta to get going after his DL stint, but this is a good matchup for him on Monday night. Peralta draws Cody Reed, who has a 7.30 ERA with a 6.11 FIP and a 4.06 xFIP. He’s allowed 11 home runs in just 40.2 innings of work. Peralta has posted some very strong seasons against lefties in the last six years, including wRC+ marks of 112, 104, 165, and 148. He likes hitting with the platoon advantage and should get it going here soon.
Jorge Polanco ($3,300) – Righties and lefties have both had a lot of success against Collin McHugh this year. An under-the-radar lefty to consider on Monday is Jorge Polanco. Polanco doesn’t play a ton, so make sure he’s in the lineup, but he has eligibility at 2B and 3B and owns a .933 OPS on the year. He’s a good extra-base hit guy and those can add up pretty quickly.
David Dahl ($3,000) – David Dahl is treating the Major Leagues like a video game. He has a .380/.404/.620 slash and is looking for more against Cole Hamels. Unlike a lot of lefties, Dahl didn’t show any big platoon splits in the minor league, so he’s hit just about anybody. Hamels is used to pitching at Coors Field, but it’s always a unique wrinkle. Dahl is once again underpriced.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 8:
Rob Whalen ($4,000) – With slim pickings in terms of high-upside pitching on Monday, streaming Rob Whalen allows the opportunity to use one of the two top arms. Whalen made his MLB debut last time out and picked up a win, though he didn’t pitch very well. First start jitters now in the past, Whalen seems like a reasonable streaming candidate against the Brewers, who have shown some flashes offensively, but are still below league average.
Michael Wacha ($6,500) – Michael Wacha has had some good results lately and should have some against Cincinnati on Monday. Wacha has a 4.35 ERA, but his 3.66 FIP and 3.94 xFIP do suggest some better fortunes on the horizon. Since June 10, Wacha has a 3.45 ERA with a 3.80 FIP and a 3.75 xFIP. He’s allowed three runs or less in nine of his 10 starts in that span. He’s not big on strikeouts, which is why he’s priced like this, but there’s value on him at this salary.
Kevin Gausman ($8,500) – Kevin Gausman has some pretty decent numbers on the season, especially if you regress his HR/FB% to league average. Right now, Gausman has a 3.73 xFIP. He’s struck out 106 in 110.1 innings of work with only 27 walks, so hopefully he’ll be able to put together a good outing here in Oakland. Oakland should, theoretically, suppress some home runs and some offense, making Gausman that much more valuable.