After a tumultuous Trade Deadline day for a lot of teams, we’ve got 15 games to break down for the day after. Tuesday August 2 will be a very entertaining card, as new faces play in new places and teams that bought and/or sold will look for a shot in the arm to get through those dog days of summer. Fortunately, all 30 teams are in action under the lights, so we have all day to focus on the matchups and find the top values on the board.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 2:
Detroit – Are we buying this recent run by James Shields? I’m not. Since his June 23 start, Shields has a 2.11 ERA, which is great. He also has a 4.79 FIP, a 5.28 xFIP, a horrible 24/16 K/BB ratio in 47 innings, a .215 BABIP, and a 94.2 percent LOB%. In other words, the regression train is rolling down the tracks and I don’t think anybody’s going to stop it. The Tigers are on an offensive tear right now, so this is a pretty easy decision.
Boston – Wade LeBlanc returns to the rotation after one relief appearance and his assignment is the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox are the top offense in baseball pretty much across the board against left-handed pitching. LeBlanc is a good story, but he has a 4.26/5.27/4.60 pitcher slash in 25.1 innings this season. To be fair, LeBlanc’s ERA shot up from that relief appearance, but it’s tough to see him getting through the Boston lineup unscathed.
Miami – Regression is still coming for Jason Hammel. Hammel has a 3.23 ERA with a 4.33 FIP and a 4.25 xFIP. He’s living on a .244 BABIP against, which is 55 points below his career average, and an 82.1 percent LOB%, more than 10 percent above his career mark. Hammel has been a good first half pitcher, but his carriage turns back into a pumpkin in the second half with a 5.05 career ERA and a .277/.342/.463 slash against.
Here are the top value hitters for August 2:
David Dahl ($3,000) – After using David Dahl on the road last week, we’re very excited to use him at home this week. Dahl is off to a robust .370/.393/.630 start to his big league career and he draws Brandon McCarthy at Coors Field tonight. McCarthy’s been really solid in his return so far, but those good times could be short-lived, as McCarthy usually tends to give up a lot of hits and will give up some dingers.
Yangervis Solarte ($3,400) – One of a handful of Padres actually hitting right-handed pitching is Yangervis Solarte. Solarte has hit eight of his 10 home runs from the left side and has a .282/.342/.480 slash in that platoon split this season. Zach Davies, the hurler for the Brewers, has allowed a .271/.327/.439 slash to righties on the season.
Victor Martinez ($3,600) – Victor Martinez is 37 years old, but you wouldn’t know it. The 1B/DH, mostly DH, owns a .314/.364/.480 against lefties and a .294/.349/.475 against righties, with nearly identical K/BB ratios in each split. He’s a brilliant hitter and a safe pick more often than not in DFS formats. V-Mart is a good bet here against James Shields, who, as mentioned above, is a big regression candidate.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 2:
Sean Manaea ($7,400) – Sean Manaea is getting more and more comfortable every time he takes the mound. He still has a 4.57 ERA, but solid peripherals with a 3.96 FIP and a 3.98 xFIP. Manaea’s numbers pretty much all fall in the average range, so there’s no big regression coming his way, but he has a 2.65/2.97/3.13 pitcher slash in his last five starts and one relief appearance since returning from the DL. He also has 35 K and four BB in that span, covering 37.1 innings.
Adam Wainwright ($8,100) – The best value on the DFS board tonight has to be Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals right-hander takes on the Cincinnati Reds and he’s been in quite a groove of late. Since May 18, Wainwright has a 2.79 ERA with a 2.72 FIP and a 3.43 xFIP in 87 innings. He’s racked up a 77/19 K/BB ratio and has looked like the savvy veteran of old. He’s a very safe pick tonight and this price seems entirely too low.
Tanner Roark ($8,800) – I’m buying what Tanner Roark has done this season because his changeup has been a real game-changer. The Diamondbacks are 19th in wOBA with a 86 wRC+ against righties on the season and have the feel of a team that is going to finish the year 25+ games under .500. There’s a lot to like about Roark’s 2.96/3.39/3.85 pitcher slash this year and his command has been impeccable.