We’re going to narrow our daily fantasy focus today to the seven games that will be played at nighttime. A little bit of a late start to today’s articles makes it an easy decision to focus on the games that have a lot of lead time for our readers. Fourteen teams is a decent sample size to pick from and it may be best to go contrarian and take a shot in some of those GPPs. Sometimes it’s nice to really narrow the focus and not have to look at so many different variables.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 4:
Baltimore – The power of the Orioles could be on display in a big way here today when the Birds take on AJ Griffin and the Rangers. Griffin has already given up 10 HR in 67.2 innings of work and his fly ball stylings aren’t going to play very well in Oriole Park at Camden Yards in the hottest months of the year. Home runs add up very quickly in stacks and the Orioles have plenty of potential today.
Texas – There’s a great chance of runs in this matchup, as Wade Miley makes his Orioles debut. The Rangers have a lot of familiarity with the former Mariner and his 4.98 ERA, 4.75 FIP, and 4.35 xFIP. Miley misses very few bats and that’s always going to be problematic in Baltimore. He couldn’t even really parlay his pitch-to-contact stylings into a good performance at Safeco Field, so who knows what he’ll do here. All we know is that it won’t be good.
Houston – JA Happ is the most expensive pitcher on the board, so this could be a little bit of a contrarian stack, with so many other options out there. Happ has spun a 3.16 ERA this season with a 3.94 FIP and a 4.11 xFIP. There’s some regression in his 80.7 percent LOB% and his .269 BABIP, both of which are well above his career averages. If Houston can swing the bats well tonight, this could be a very profitable stack.
Here are the top value hitters for August 4:
Ryan Rua ($3,600) – Finding reasonably priced hitters is a tough job on the nighttime card with so many subpar pitchers on the mound. We’ll look at Ryan Rua as a guy with some promise thanks to his splits against lefties. Rua is batting .333/.407/.500 against southpaws with a 136 wRC+ and a .382 wOBA. Those are big numbers and Miley is definitely a hittable lefty.
Kole Calhoun ($3,400) – Kole Calhoun is in a bit of a slump, but a matchup against Jesse Hahn could be a good way to snap out of it. Calhoun owns a .352 OBP against righties this season. His power is down a little bit against righties from last year, when he slugged .447, but he’s still a good platoon bat option at a fair price.
David Dahl ($3,800) – The value is already starting to run out on David Dahl, as his price increased after a three-hit showing on Wednesday night. Dahl is now slashing .389/.421/.583 over his first nine games. Kenta Maeda is an interesting matchup, but Dahl will have the platoon advantage there and he’s still underpriced given the Coors Field factor.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 4:
Ricky Nolasco ($5,600) – Finding value arms tonight is like pulling teeth with a pair of Fiskars. There’s very little out there to pick from. Perhaps Ricky Nolasco can get things together with a fresh start in Anaheim. One of Nolasco’s bigger problems this year has been his HR rate, which should go down out at Angel Stadium. We’ll have to see, but he might be the best of a bad bunch.
Drew Pomeranz ($9,400) – There aren’t really any more starters to make a case for in tonight’s DFS slate. That puts Drew Pomeranz front and center against the lefty-heavy Mariners lineup. After some first start jitters with his new team, Pomeranz has settled in nicely and has the highest average score of any starter on tonight’s card per DraftKings scoring.
Kenta Maeda ($6,700) – Streaming any pitcher at Coors Field is probably a recipe for disaster, but there aren’t many guys with strikeout potential on tonight’s card. One of them is Kenta Maeda, who has 120 K in 120 IP. He hasn’t nearly as good as he was in the month of April, but he’s still a viable starter and one of today’s more attractive options.