Those that need a distraction from work will get one with seven day games on tap for Wednesday’s DFS slate. Technically, there are eight day games, but the DFS sites are passing on the 12:35 Atlanta vs. Cincinnati contest. That means that there are another seven games tonight, so a perfectly split slate gives contest players the opportunity to win twice today! Here are some tips to help you along the way.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 20:
Seattle (early) – After facing tough lefties Chris Sale and Jose Quintana, seeing Miguel Gonzalez’s name on the schedule has to feel like a godsend. The Mariners are fifth in wOBA against right-handed pitching and third in wRC+ on the season. The left-handed-heavy lineup was going to show platoon splits like this, so it comes as no surprise, but this is a good opportunity for the offense to get on track and send the White Sox on their way with an ugly loss.
San Francisco (late) – Don’t be surprised if Drew Pomeranz struggles his first time at Fenway Park as a member of the Boston Red Sox. This is a pretty significant change all around for the left-hander, who goes from San Diego to Boston, from a doormat to a pennant contender, and from a mostly neutral park to one of the best hitter’s parks in baseball. This is more of a situational play than anything else because Pomeranz certainly has good numbers.
Los Angeles (AL) (late) – The Angels don’t have much to be excited about this season, but they are a top-10 offense in wOBA against southpaws, so a matchup against Martin Perez could work out well for them. The free-falling Rangers have some regression candidates in the rotation, including Perez, who has a 4.05 ERA with a 4.80 FIP and a 4.95 xFIP. He has one of the lowest K rates among qualified starters and the Angels have the lowest K rate in baseball against LHP. Expect lots of balls in play and lots of traffic on the bases.
Here are the top value hitters for July 20:
Nolan Arenado (early) ($4,600) – Even though Chris Archer’s salary has been lowered dramatically, the position player salary algorithm doesn’t seem to have caught up. Arenado has hit 18 of his 23 dingers off of right-handed pitching this season and owns a .280/.339/.554 slash against same-side pitching. Archer has had command issues all season long and it’s highly unlikely that a visit to Coors Field is going to benefit him in many ways. That’s why Arenado, normally in the $5,000+ range at home, carries some value today.
Marcell Ozuna (late) ($3,200) – The Marlins outfielder has cooled off a little bit of late, but he’s still swinging a good stick for the season. Ozuna is batting .290/.345/.463 against right-handed pitching on the campaign and has a matchup with Jeremy Hellickson and his spotty command tonight. Ozuna’s resurgence is a big reason why the Marlins are where they are.
Ryan Rua (late) ($3,200) – The Rangers have gotten very good contributions from Ryan Rua against left-handed pitching this season. He’ll face a terrible lefty tonight in Hector Santiago. Rua, in 80 plate appearances, is slashing .333/.413/.522 on the season, good for a .393 wOBA and a 142 wRC+. Like many DFS guys that excel on the short side of the platoon, he’s underpriced because he can’t hit righties.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 20:
Felix Hernandez (early) ($10,100) – The early slate of pitchers is pretty terrible, so we’re forced to pay the price for one of the top four guys. King Felix is a decent dice roll today. He’s coming back from a calf injury that cost him a couple months of the season and he expressed how good he was feeling during his media scrum earlier this week. The White Sox are 24th in wOBA against RHP on the season and don’t see Felix very much. He’s a pretty good bet today.
Wei-Yin Chen (late) ($6,800) – If there’s ever a time to buy Wei-Yin Chen, it’s now. The Marlins left-hander has almost identical peripherals to last season, but he’s not inducing pop ups at the same rate, so more of them are leaving the yard and he’s giving up more extra-base hits. Today, however, he takes on a Phillies lineup that is 30th in wOBA by a large margin in this split and has a 64 wRC+, which means they are 36 percent below league average against lefties. If Chen can’t get on track here, hope may be lost for 2016.
Gio Gonzalez (late) ($7,300) – Lefties have been the Achilles’ heel of the Dodgers this season and Gio Gonzalez, conveniently, uses his left hand to throw a baseball. Los Angeles enters this one 28th in wOBA against LHP at .289, 17 points below the 27th-ranked team. They are actually below the Braves in weighted runs created in this split, so they have been really awful against lefties. That should give Gio Gonzalez some good value today.