It’s a Sunday, so we don’t have a whole lot of time to study the matchups and figure out how we want to construct our DFS lineups. As you would expect, the calendar is full of day games and we’ll focus on the 12 games to be played this afternoon, as it makes the most sense with the biggest sample size of players. Sundays are always difficult days for handicapping or DFS just because of the time constraints, but we’ll do the best we can.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 24:
Cleveland – The Indians have made it a point to step up in bounce back situations and that’s the hope on Sunday afternoon. Cleveland has been shut down by Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman here in this series so far, but Vance Worley doesn’t have the same caliber of stuff as the other two. Worley shows signs of regression with a 3.16 ERA and a 4.19 FIP and 4.42 xFIP. This is just his fourth start of the season. The Indians have been a top 10 offense against righties all season long and should put some emphasis on this one with Monday off.
Los Angeles Angels – Mike Fiers has been setting quite a few Fiers on the mound recently that he hasn’t been able to put out. Fiers has given up 10 runs on 10 hits over his last seven innings and has only worked six innings in one of his last five starts. The stuff just doesn’t look impressive right now and the Astros may be considering rotation alternatives. He has a 4.75 ERA with a 4.80 FIP on the season.
New York Yankees – A late pitching change swapped Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija in a game that Bruce Bochy really wanted to win on Saturday. Samardzija now works today and the Yankees have to be salivating for a crack at him. Since May 30, Samardzija has a 6.14 ERA with a 5.87 FIP and a 4.91 xFIP in 51.1 innings of work. He only has 32 K that span and has given up 12 home runs. That’s a bad set of stats heading into Yankee Stadium.
Here are the top value hitters for July 24:
Chris Davis ($3,200) – There’s a decent chance that Chris Davis does some damage today against Corey Kluber. Unless Kluber can really bury the curve and cutter in on the left-handed slugger, he’s going to leave some balls right in that nitro zone for lefties. Kluber also has a knack for allowing hard contact on his sinker. Davis has a good chance at getting to Kluber’s arsenal, which doesn’t match up all that well with a guy like Crash.
Nomar Mazara ($3,400) – The growing pains of a rookie season have hit Nomar Mazara at times, but he’s back to raking once again. The youngster, subject to some trade rumors with Chris Sale’s availability, has a .287/.341/.429 slash on the year and he’s batting .321/.417/.484 over his last 10 games. A matchup against Edinson Volquez should work in his favor today.
Carlos Beltran ($3,600) – Carlos Beltran probably wouldn’t mind getting traded to a stronger contender, but he’d miss Yankee Stadium. The 39-year-old is slashing .280/.336/.534 against right-handed pitchers at home this season and is batting .297/.360/.583 overall at home this season. Jeff Samardzija’s struggles are well-documented and Beltran is in the catbird’s seat to take advantage.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 24:
Lucas Giolito ($7,600) – The youngster couldn’t ask for a better opportunity to get his first win of his MLB career. The Padres are awful against right-handed pitching, ranking in the bottom of the league throughout the season and this is also a getaway day for a west coast team. Giolito hasn’t shown a ton in his 7.2 innings so far, but this matchup should be really profitable for DFS players.
Jameson Taillon ($8,100) – Now healthy coming out of the All-Star Break, Jameson Taillon is a good streaming candidate against the Phillies today. Taillon threw six strong innings last time out, even though the strikeouts still weren’t there. He has to be feeling more comfort with each start at the big league level and those punchouts should start coming, given his minor league track record.
Rick Porcello ($9,200) – The Twins have been better over the last 30 games or so, but this is still a well below average team. Porcello owns a 3.47 ERA with a 3.82 FIP and a 4.06 xFIP on the season. I’m not worried about the xFIP because he’s rarely posted a HR/FB% around league average and shouldn’t this year with the increased number of dingers. Porcello is a worthwhile stream, especially because he should get a nice cushion to work with today.