A new week is upon us in Major League Baseball and that means a truncated schedule for Monday night. Eight teams enjoy a day of rest and relaxation or endure yet another day of travel, so we’re left with 11 games to pick from on the nighttime card. This is a pretty good sample size of games, because you can narrow your focus a little bit, while still having a lot of different players to choose from. Let’s see which value picks are available for July 25.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 25:
Toronto – The Blue Jays will welcome Jose Bautista back to the lineup on Monday, so Toronto will have a full complement of players for the first time in a little while. Colin Rea of the Padres can’t be looking forward to this start. The 26-year-old has a 5.01 ERA with a 4.81 FIP and a 4.79 xFIP on the campaign and this will be his first start of the season against a team using a DH. There’s a good chance the Blue Jays put up some numbers.
Houston – Michael Pineda has a lot of attributes that work well against the Houston Astros, but there’s one significant statistic that stands out in a big way. Pineda has given up 18 HR in 106.1 innings of work and he’s also allowed 115 hits. The Astros make a lot of hard contact when they aren’t striking out, so this is one of those Pineda spots where he could post a line of 6 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 4 HR, 1 BB, 10 K. Home runs add up quickly. Righties have hit 12 of the 18 HR allowed by Pineda and they have a .492 SLG. Find a couple Astros and roll the dice on a dinger.
Detroit – We’ll try the fade of Drew Pomeranz once again here as the Tigers come to town. Pomeranz struggled in his first start with Boston, allowing five runs on eight hits over just three innings of work. There’s going to be a learning curve for Pomeranz pitching at Fenway Park and also in the American League. It may take him some time to get comfortable and he’s been thriving on a low BABIP throughout the season. That’s harder to sustain in the AL and in a park like this.
Here are the top value hitters for July 25:
David Dahl ($2,700) – The Colorado Rockies have promoted one of their top prospects, David Dahl. Dahl is a powerful left-handed hitter that has the chance to do some damage in his first game. Yovani Gallardo has allowed a .299/.405/.538 slash to lefties in 126 plate appearances this season. Six of the seven HR allowed by Gallardo have been by lefties and he has a 21/19 K/BB ratio. Dahl is worth a flyer today.
Ryon Healy ($3,200) – The A’s are going to give Ryon Healy a lot of at bats the rest of the way, especially once they trade Danny Valencia. Healy should see steady playing time and should start to develop good success against left-handed hurlers. He’s off to a slow start, but Healy has a .356/.389/.522 slash against lefties across three levels this season.
Brandon Belt ($3,500) – It seems like Brandon Belt keeps getting underrated by the DFS pricing algorithms. He has struggled over his last 10 games, but Belt has a .278/.384/.476 slash on the season and he’s going to a good hitter’s park in Cincinnati. Lefties are teeing off on Anthony DeSclafani at a .330/.347/.535 clip so far this season with five HR and 38 hits in 118 plate appearances. It’s time for Belt to get back on track.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 25:
Jake Peavy ($6,100) – It took a little bit of time, but Jake Peavy has gotten on track for the Giants this year. Peavy has a 3.43 ERA with a 3.52 FIP over his last 12 starts with some solid peripherals and really good command. The Reds are 27th in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season and Peavy has the tools and the pitchability to navigate this punchless lineup with enough points to give a decent return on this small investment.
Dallas Keuchel ($8,000) – Every series is big for the Yankees as they decide whether or not they want to be sellers, stand pat, or maybe even do some buying at the Trade Deadline. It might be a tough spot for them on Monday. The Yankees are 27th in wOBA against left-handed pitching and Dallas Keuchel has been pretty good of late as the Astros surge up the standings in the AL West. Since he gave up seven runs on May 22, Keuchel has a 3.52 ERA, a 3.89 FIP, and a 3.26 xFIP in his last 10 starts.
Aaron Sanchez ($10,900) – Sometimes you simply have to pay up for pitching. Aaron Sanchez is that “sometimes”. The Padres have been among the league’s worst offenses against right-handed pitching and I don’t believe that adding an extra hitter to the lineup will help them all that much. Righties are batting .236/.280/.315 against Sanchez this season, which is among the league leaders in that split. The Padres are pretty right-handed-heavy.