Hump Day takes on a different meaning in the daily fantasy baseball world. The endless grind of the season does make it feel like you are trying to get over the hump sometimes, especially on Wednesdays, when there are a mixture of day games and night games. Today, there are six afternoon matchups and nine in the evening hours, so we have a nice split of games for those contest players looking to make money. Whether you play early, late, or all day, we’ve got suggestions for you.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 27:
Toronto (early) – There’s no reason to play around with the early games. Getting cute and creative with a stacking option is hard with these getaway day contests, so it’s best to play the percentages and side with the most likely team. That team is Toronto, who welcomes Luis Perdomo to Rogers Centre. It’s an early getaway day for the Padres, which means a sleepy defensive effort is possible. Perdomo also has a 6.93 ERA with a 4.83 FIP and a 4.04 xFIP. He’s given up a .377 BABIP in 76.2 innings and 12 HR. Toronto should take advantage.
Pittsburgh (late) – The Pirates get their hacks in against James Paxton on Wednesday evening, as they bring the eighth-ranked offense against left-handed pitching by wOBA to the ballpark. Paxton has a 4.18 ERA, but much better peripherals with a 3.19 FIP and a 3.52 xFIP. Consistency has been tough to attain at times and it seems unlikely that a lot of people will be stacking the Pirates. It’s all about strikeouts for Paxton. He has a .374 BABIP against, so balls in play have been very detrimental.
Chicago White Sox (late) – He’s a contrarian gamble for you. The White Sox seem to get fired up for these games against the northsiders and they have a chance to do some damage against Jason Hammel. Hammel owns a 3.35 ERA with a 4.37 FIP and a 4.27 xFIP. His strikeout rate is way down this season and he’s living off of a .245 BABIP. Regression is coming for the right-hander and the White Sox seem like a decent gamble to kickstart some of that bad luck for Hammel.
Here are the top value hitters for July 27:
Alex Dickerson (early) ($2,900) – If it’s high, let it fly. That’s usually the motto against knuckleballs and likely the advice that Alex Dickerson will follow against RA Dickey. The Padres prospect owns a .288/.329/.550 slash line with five HR in just 80 at bats this season. The Melvin Upton Jr. trade means Dickerson will get a lot more playing time moving forward and he’s going to be a cheap streaming option for most of it.
Josh Harrison (late) ($2,900) – There are a handful of Pirates you could roll with in this spot, but Josh Harrison is the cheapest of the bunch. Harrison’s coming off of a maintenance day, so he’s nice and fresh as he heads into this matchup with left-hander James Paxton. Harrison owns a .310/.355/.437 slash against southpaws on the season. He’s got good speed and he should find himself in some run-scoring opportunities this evening.
Hyun Soo Kim (late) ($3,200) – Hyun Soo Kim is back from the disabled list and he’s back at the top of the powerful Orioles lineup against right-handed pitchers. Kim is a .354/.429/.486 hitter against right-handed pitching on the season and he is among the league leaders with 150 or more plate appearances in that split. The Orioles can hit just about everybody and Kim is right in the middle of it while batting second.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 27:
Adam Conley (early) ($9,000) – Some thought was given to Michael Fulmer here, but Adam Conley seems like the safer bet given the matchup. Conley has 106 K in 110.2 IP on the season and has just about a strikeout per inning over his last 10 starts. The Phillies are, by far, the worst team in baseball against lefties with a .278 wOBA and a 69 wRC+. Pitcher-friendly Marlins Park has been kind to Conley, as opposing hitters are batting just .210/.311/.332.
Dylan Bundy (late) ($4,000) – The raw stuff is great from Dylan Bundy and there’s a ton of upside. Bundy has nine strikeouts in his 8.1 innings as a starter, so you should get some points from punchouts and that’s very important at this price point. It’s important to keep in mind that you really don’t need a big number from Bundy to validate this price tag. His addition to your roster allows financial flexibility to get a top arm and he may also give you a quality score.
Tyler Duffey (late) ($5,100) – It has not been a good season for Tyler Duffey at all, but a visit from the Atlanta Braves could be just what he needs. Duffey struck out 53 in 58 innings last season at the big league level and has shown a knack for missing some bats this year, but he’s given up 15 HR in just 88.1 innings. Fortunately, the Braves are the worst team in baseball against righties and have a .352 SLG, 33 points lower than the next closest team.