We’ve got nine games on this Thursday card, but we’ll narrow our focus to the seven night games being offered by daily fantasy baseball sites. For a lot of teams, this is one of just a few off days left during the season. Many teams only have four or five off days left from now until the conclusion of the regular season on October 2. Even though there are only 14 teams to pick from tonight, there are plenty of interesting options to fill out those rosters and win big on July 28.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 28:
Boston – Obvious stack is obvious. There are a lot of quality hurlers on the mound tonight, but Jered Weaver is not one of them. The Red Sox are a slumping a little bit as they head to the West Coast, but Weaver could be just what they need to get back on track. Weaver has a 5.32 ERA with a 5.67 FIP and a 5.79 xFIP on the year. His strikeout rate is one of the lowest among qualified starters and he’s given up 23 HR in 111.2 innings. Historically, Weaver has had better splits at home, but he’s actually been worse at Angel Stadium this year than on the road.
Texas – Yordano Ventura’s rough year continued when he got smoked by a comebacker last time out. He’s up to a 4.99 ERA with a 4.73 FIP and a 4.72 xFIP. His 4.81 SIERA is a career-worst. Ventura just faced Texas last weekend and gave up three runs on three hits in five innings with four walks. Facing them at Globe Life Park probably won’t go any better and could probably go much worse.
Chicago Cubs – I’m not a conspiracy theorist with most things, but it is fair to wonder what kind of effort Chris Sale will come up with on Thursday for the White Sox. This is a rare night game for the Cubs at Wrigley, so it’s a rare opportunity to stack their loaded lineup. Sale is one of the game’s elites and extra rest probably helped, but the situation on the South Side is a little bit concerning. Sale may deal, but there won’t be a lot of stacks against him, even with limited options, so a bad outing could put you in a great spot.
Here are the best value hitters for July 28:
Joey Gallo ($3,300) – If Yordano Ventura was still striking guys out and missing bats with regularity, this would be a tougher call. Because he’s not, Joey Gallo is a great streaming option today. The slugger takes on a pitcher that is allowing a .343 OBP to lefties and a .412 SLG on the season. Gallo has prolific power and Ventura has already allowed 14 homers this season.
Freddie Freeman ($3,600) – Freddie Freeman doesn’t have a whole lot of help in the Atlanta lineup, which has really hurt his fantasy and DFS value this season, but he has a terrific matchup today against Aaron Nola. Freeman still owns a .280/.363/.517 slash on the year and has hit 13 of his 18 HR against RHP. Since June 11, Nola has a 10.61 ERA with a .453 BABIP against, so he has had very little command over his last seven starts.
Brandon Crawford ($3,500) – He hasn’t been able to replicate last year’s power production, but Brandon Crawford has been a solid offensive performer for the Giants. He’s above league average in both splits, with a .261/.340/.432 slash against right-handed pitching on the year. Of his 58 hits, 23 are extra-base hits against righties, so he’s been able to put up some decent numbers at a premium position.
Here are the best value pitchers for July 28:
Tanner Roark ($8,900) – Cheap pitching is really tough to find on Thursday night. Tanner Roark is probably the best of the bunch below $10,000 in DraftKings formats. Increased use of his changeup under pitching coach Mike Maddux has led to a 3.05/3.39/3.76 pitcher slash this season and he’s also seen an increase in both strikeouts and ground balls. Everything is going in the right direction for Roark and the Giants offense has been subpar since the All-Star Break.
John Lackey ($10,100) – I’m not sure people realize just how good John Lackey has been this season or how good the two-year stretch he’s current on has been. Lackey has regressed a tad of late to a 3.79/3.88/3.81 pitcher slash, but he’s still punched out over a batter per inning and has induced quite a bit of weak contact. He wasn’t going to replicate last year’s 2.77 ERA, but he’s given the Cubs a lot of great innings this season.
David Price ($9,300) – You’ll have to save money with cheaper hitters because the pitching market is brutal today. David Price still owns that ugly 4.51 ERA, but his peripherals are all quite good. He has a 3.36 FIP, a 3.24 xFIP, and he’s struck out well over a batter per inning with excellent walk rates. A .339 BABIP is still the culprit for Price, but it feels like everything should turn for him soon.