We’ve got two days left in the month of July and 30 Major League Baseball games before Monday’s Trade Deadline, so long as Mother Nature doesn’t get in the way. Eleven of those matchups take place on Saturday night and those are the games that will be in our daily fantasy spotlight for July 30. Throughout the season, we’ve given you some excellent analysis on teams, hitters, and pitchers to add to your lineup and that will continue until the final day of the regular season is in the books for everybody.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 30:
Oakland – I’ve been waiting for the other shoe to drop with Josh Tomlin. The nice thing about Oakland is that it winds up being a pretty cheap stack overall. Tomlin has a 3.48 ERA with a 4.87 FIP and a 4.13 xFIP. He racked up eight strikeouts last time out to stop the slide of his K% and his BB% is still elite, but a 78.6 percent LOB% and a .259 BABIP against don’t seem all that sustainable for him. The A’s are actually 10th in SLG away from O.co Coliseum.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Braden Shipley gets his second crack at a Major League lineup today and the first one didn’t go all that well. Shipley, who had low K rates in high minors, gave up three HR and six runs over 5.1 innings of work. Guys that don’t miss a lot of bats have a very low margin for error and that’s the case with Shipley at the big league level. The Dodgers are a league average offense against RHP, but that should be elevated a bit here.
Detroit – The Tigers thumped Collin McHugh on Friday night and have similar plans for Mike Fiers on Saturday night. Fiers has given up 13 runs on 19 hits, four of them home runs, over his last three starts. Fiers isn’t missing bats anymore with his elevated high-80s fastball, so hitters are starting to do a little bit more damage. The Tigers are a team on a mission to catch the aforementioned Tribe and they are seventh in wOBA against right-handed pitchers.
Here are the top value hitters for July 30:
David Dahl ($2,200) – David Dahl is off to a 7-for-19 start to his big league career. Though he’s struck out in seven of the 12 at bats in which he has failed to reach base, Dahl is definitely worth a look here against Bartolo Colon. Many prospects that come up tend to be good fastball hitters and we know exactly what Colon’s plan of attack is. Furthermore, Colon is a regression candidate here in the second half because of his age and that’s something that may be worth stacking against in certain situations.
Salvador Perez ($3,500) – In today’s Perez vs. Perez matchup, expect Salvador to get the best of Martin. In just 87 plate appearances against LHP, Salvy has five dingers and a .451 SLG. Martin is a guy that likes to keep the ball on the ground, but Salvador makes a lot of solid contact and may be able to uppercut one of those balls out of the park. In terms of catchers, he’s one of the better options tonight.
Yasmany Tomas ($4,200) – Yasmany Tomas could be starting to have the breakout that everybody has been looking for. It will help that he draws a left-hander on Saturday night. Tomas will get his cuts in against Scott Kazmir and Yasmany brings a .306/.372/.624 slash against southpaws into this one. He has a .411 wOBA and a 155 wRC+, making him one of the league’s most productive bats in that split. He’s worth the additional bucks today.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 30:
Jorge de la Rosa ($4,800) – A little bit of a gamble tonight, but the Mets rank 22nd in wOBA against left-handed pitching and JDLR is one that they don’t get a chance to face very often. He’s had some issues this season, but 65 strikeouts in 79 innings is a reasonable number at this price point. It’s important to remember that you’re not looking for the world from these sub-$5000 guys. You’re just looking for 12-15 points for a good ROI.
Jameson Taillon ($8,400) – One of the prized possessions of the Pittsburgh system, Jameson Taillon is taking his eighth crack at a big league lineup tonight. Taillon has done a good job limiting walks, which has allowed him to carry a 3.60 ERA, despite six HR allowed in 40 innings. Taillon hasn’t flashed the big strikeout potential just yet, but it’s in there and the raw stuff looks good. He could be on the verge of a breakout start, as his 3.24 xFIP indicates.
Anthony DeSclafani ($9,400) – It was going to be a lost year for the Cincinnati Reds, but the lost development time for Anthony DeSclafani was really unfortunate. He draws the best possible matchup here when he faces a Padres team that is awful against right-handed hurlers. In nine starts, DeSclafani has a 3.09 ERA with a 3.93 FIP and a 4.12 xFIP, but those numbers are a little bit inflated because his K rate is a bit below league average and he’s given up a few HR. This is a great matchup and he should post a quality number for DFS players.