Happy Trade Deadline Day! It’s hard to see a lot of fantasy-relevant players on the move today unless some crazy things happen. Don’t expect a blockbuster deal, as teams will likely look to add complementary pieces like relievers and platoon bats. For our purposes, some of those platoon bats are valuable assets in the never-ending quest for DFS value picks. It would be nice if trade deadlines were league-wide off days so players could relax and put everything in perspective, but we have a handful of games tonight, so let’s see which pieces fit the puzzle.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 1:
Cleveland – The lively Indians take on the Minnesota Twins for four straight beginning tonight and they’ll get a second crack at Jose Berrios. Berrios made his MLB debut against the Indians back on April 27 and gave up five runs on six hits in four innings. He hasn’t started at the MLB level since May 16. In his 15 innings, he gave up 17 runs on 20 hits, with 20 strikeouts, but 12 walks and five HR allowed. Berrios was good in Triple-A, so we’ll see how his stuff translates this time around, but the Indians appear to have a second wind.
Toronto – I’ve come to expect Doug Fister to spit in the face of his advanced metrics, but this may be one of the tougher outings for the right-hander. Fister has a 3.73 ERA with a 4.61 FIP and a 4.82 xFIP and he draws the Blue Jays on Monday night. With Fister, I’m worried about regression in that 77.1 percent LOB% because he doesn’t miss bats. LOB regression with all of the baserunners Fister allows would make for a tough outing.
Milwaukee – Jarred Cosart makes his San Diego Padres debut tonight against one of the hottest offenses in baseball. Nobody has noticed, but the Brewers are fourth in wOBA over the last two weeks. Jonathan Lucroy could get traded today and that might send a ripple through the Brewers clubhouse, so keep that in mind, but the Brewers have excelled over this small sample size and young teams can gain momentum from things like that. Cosart is a below average hurler and could have a tough time with the transition.
Here are the top value hitters for August 1:
Steve Pearce ($3,600) – Steve Pearce could be traded, so keep an eye on the latest developments. If he’s not, he’s a terrific streaming option against Danny Duffy on Monday night. The 33-year-old utility man has a .389/.484/.741 slash against left-handers on the season and has been a very strong platoon bat in recent years. We’ll have to see if he’s on the move, but he’s a great option if not.
Chris Carter ($3,300) – Sometimes pitchers without command that throw hard can provide the power. Not that Chris Carter needs any help. The slugger has a favorable matchup here against Jarred Cosart, making his first start for the Padres. Carter has hit 24 dingers so far this year.
Eric Hosmer ($3,500) – Eric Hosmer has been mired in a pretty big slump of late, but Chris Archer might be just what he needs to get back on the right track. Archer has given up 21 HR on the season, with nine of them to left-handed hitters. Lefties own a .427 SLG against Archer this season. Hosmer is batting .298/.364/.455 against right-handed pitching on the year.
Here are the top value pitchers for August 1:
Logan Verrett ($4,800) – The Yankees Trade Deadline Fire Sale might not be done yet. Even if it is, this is a team that doesn’t have a whole lot to look forward to over the next couple of months and that could definitely show up on the field on Monday. Logan Verrett doesn’t have to do much here to generate some value at this price point, so that’s definitely worth monitoring.
Eduardo Rodriguez ($6,200) – Playing with a little bit of fire here, but this isn’t the greatest spot for the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners played Sunday Night Baseball against the Cubs last night and then made the long trip home to SeaTac. As it is, they have some issues hitting lefties and fatigue could be a factor tonight. Eduardo Rodriguez hasn’t been a great bet in DFS, but he’s worth a shot here at this price point.
Jimmy Nelson ($7,800) – I’m not a Jimmy Nelson fan and haven’t been all season, but he draws the Padres here and throws right-handed, so he’s worthy of consideration. It could end up being a pretty busy day for AJ Preller, as things may come together quickly to move some of the team’s assets. The Padres are 30th in wOBA at .289 and 28th in wRC+ at 82 against righties.