It’s a really spread out Major League Baseball schedule today with seven day games and eight night games. Things start in Cleveland at 12:10 p.m. ET with the conclusion of the series between the Tigers and Indians. The rest of the day is sectioned off at your favorite daily fantasy site, with six games available early and eight games late. As always, we’ll pick players for each section of the day so you can win early, win late, and win all day.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 6:
Philadelphia (early) – The Phillies kept on putting up good offensive numbers in last night’s win of Mike Foltynewicz and the Braves. As mentioned yesterday, the Phillies are among the best offensive teams in baseball over the last couple of weeks. They have a .375 wOBA and a 135 wRC+ with 18 HR and a .527 SLG. Two-week sample sizes aren’t all that predictive of future performance, but Tyrell Jenkins is getting the start for the Braves. He doesn’t miss many bats and has had poor K/BB stats in the minors. Expect a lot of traffic for the Phillies.
Boston (late) – Martin Perez’s regression needs to come here at some point and Fenway Park and the best offense in baseball are two factors that could serve as catalysts. Perez owns a 3.39 ERA with a 4.77 FIP and a 4.91 xFIP. He has one of the lowest K rates in the league and is living off of a 79.2 percent LOB%, which is far from sustainable for a ground ball pitcher that doesn’t strike anybody out.
Tampa Bay (late) – A Tampa Bay stack should be somewhat reasonably priced since they face a right-handed pitcher tonight. It turns out that righty is Jered Weaver, so they have a decent shot. The Rays have hit a lot of dingers this season, which is about the only thing carrying their offense. Fortunately, Weaver gives up a lot of those. He’s given up 20 in 94.2 innings of work and we know how homers add up in DFS.
Here are the top value hitters for July 6:
Giancarlo Stanton (early) ($3,600) – At this point, I’d roster Giancarlo Stanton against prime Nolan Ryan or Walter Johnson. Stanton has officially come out of his season-long slump with a .300/.364/.625 slash over his last 10 games and some mammoth home runs. Jacob deGrom is not an easy matchup for anybody, but it’s hard to pass on this price with Stanton.
Steven Souza Jr. (late) ($3,400) – In the midst of a brutal season, Kevin Cash yanked Steven Souza Jr. from Tuesday’s game for a lack of hustle. It was a teaching point for the young outfielder and he should get a chance to respond today against Jered Weaver. Souza has a lot of swing-and-miss in his profile, but he also has a lot of power. The reasons are pretty obvious why he’s worth a look tonight.
David Freese (late) ($3,600) – David Freese is batting .333/.403/.567 against left-handed pitching on the season thus far, with a .408 wOBA and a 161 wRC+. This is nothing new for Freese, who has always fared better against southpaws. He has a .299/.370/.469 slash line in his career against lefties. The Cardinals are sending out Jaime Garcia tonight.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 6:
Sonny Gray (early) ($5,900) – The Minnesota Twins rank 24th in wOBA against right-handed pitching and this is a getaway day game, so it makes a lot of sense for Sonny Gray to be rostered today. Gray has struggled this season and was sidelined by an injury, but the Oakland right-hander has a track record of success and this is a decent lineup for him to face. Keep in mind that pitchers at this price point don’t need to be that good for a good ROI.
Marcus Stroman (late) ($6,400) – The ball was coming out really well for Marcus Stroman in his last outing against the Indians. Stroman had six strikeouts over 6.2 innings of work and gave his team a chance to win. Maybe something clicked for the former Duke product and he’s ready to put the bad start to the season behind him. At this price, it’s worth speculating to see if that is the case.
Jacob deGrom (early) ($10,000) – It has been a fairly rough stretch of travel for the Miami Marlins. This is the final game of a nine-game, three-city road trip, that also included Sunday Night Baseball and a quick turnaround on Monday. deGrom has settled in after a tough start to the season and is up around a strikeout per inning with a 2.62/3.04/3.33 pitcher slash. He’s a great streaming option here against a team looking to get home to wrap up the first half.