We’re going to narrow our focus a little bit here, as we look solely at the eight games to be played under the lights on Thursday night. There are 11 games on the slate overall, but we know that day games in the lead-up to the All-Star Break, with July 4 on a Monday, are going to have some wonky lineups. It’s best to fast-forward to the nighttime card and there are a lot of daily fantasy baseball opportunities for us to explore on the final day of June.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 30:
St. Louis – The low man on the totem pole tonight is Chris Young, so it seems pretty elementary to look at stacking the Cardinals this evening. It doesn’t hurt that the Cardinals are fourth in wOBA against right-handed pitching at .346 and lead baseball with a 118 wRC+. Their .470 SLG against righties is fourth as well. Young has a 6.54 ERA, a 7.48 FIP, and a 5.13 xFIP on the season, with 21 HR allowed in just 53.2 innings of work. Home runs adds up quickly, particularly in stacks.
Baltimore – The Orioles make the trek north to Seattle to open up a four-game set with the Mariners. Their first assignment is Taijuan Walker. Walker has looked a little bit better recently, but now a foot injury has kept him out of action since June 19. After a neck injury forced him from his May 6 start against Houston, Walker hung a 6.26/7.19/5.10 pitcher slash in five starts. He seems to lose his mechanics rather easily and he has given up 14 HR in 75.2 innings of work.
Kansas City – There could be some runs at Kauffman Stadium tonight. Mike Leake has not given much in the way of a return on investment for the Cardinals this season. The right-hander owns a 4.25/4.52/4.08 pitcher slash and hasn’t missed a whole lot of bats or barrels. He’s on pace to top his previous career high in HR allowed of 26 in 179 IP in 2012. He’s given up 14 HR in 91 IP so far this season. He’s also giving up more than a hit per inning, so the Royals could get some traffic on the bases.
Here are the top value hitters for June 30:
Victor Martinez ($3,400) – After a couple of knees hampered by knee problems, the 37-year-old is back to absolutely raking. Martinez owns a .320/.358/.525 slash against right-handed pitching this season. The switch hitter actually has a 150 wRC+ from the right side and a 131 wRC+ from the left side. Ten of his 14 home runs are from the left side, so he’s a good streaming candidate here in this one against right-hander Jake Odorizzi.
Daniel Murphy ($3,800) – Daniel Murphy’s performance against left-handed pitching is unlikely to continue, but hopefully we can milk another day out of it. Murphy has a .318/.374/.489 slash against lefties this season, good enough for a .361 wOBA and a 125 wRC+. The Nationals are getting a look at Brandon Finnegan, who has been very erratic this season.
Danny Valencia ($3,200) – Madison Bumgarner is not an easy at bat, but Danny Valencia has the best chance of anybody in the A’s lineup to do some damage. Valencia has a .326/.376/.528 slash overall on the season, but he has five home runs in just 56 PA against lefties with a .392/.446/.745 slash vs. southpaws. It’s tough to argue against those numbers, regardless of the opposing pitcher.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 30:
Dillon Overton ($4,900) – This isn’t an ideal matchup, but Dillon Overton allows you to add one of today’s aces to your lineup, like Madison Bumgarner, for example. Overton takes on a Giants team that is 20th in wOBA against LHP, right at league average by wRC+, but Hunter Pence is such a big part of what they do against left-handed arms. Overton has the safety net of pitching at O.co Coliseum, so he could give you what you need at this price point.
Wei-Yin Chen ($6,900) – If Wei-Yin Chen can’t get on track against the Braves, there may not be a lot of hope for him the rest of the season. Chen shows signs of positive regression with a 5.00 ERA and a 4.27 xFIP. He’s hitting too many barrels, but Turner Field is a pretty forgiving outfield most of the time and Chen’s only big problem this season is the long ball. He’s a candidate for improvement over the next few weeks.
Gio Gonzalez ($7,400) – The struggles of Gio Gonzalez over his last few starts have been a little bit surprising. The Nationals left-hander is still striking out over a batter per inning. He has a 4.73 ERA with a 3.66 FIP and a 3.77 xFIP. The Reds are 25th in wOBA against left-handed pitching, so this isn’t an ideal matchup for them.