It’s a late start here on this Saturday morning, so we’ll have to narrow our daily fantasy focus today and pay attention solely to the eight night games on the July 2 card. Holiday weekends should draw big crowds in home cities and seasonable weather could have the ball flying in some parks. We’re looking for all the edges we can find, especially with just 16 teams worth of players to consider. Who should you consider? Let’s take a look.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 2:
Washington – Dan Straily was tagged for seven runs in his last start and it appears that some of his batted ball and sequencing luck is starting to even out a little bit. The Reds right-hander draws another tricky assignment with the Nationals on Saturday. Straily has a 4.38 ERA with a 4.66 FIP and a 4.95 xFIP on the season. His .249 BABIP against seems unsustainable, even with the high fly ball rate that can support a stat like that. The Nationals are in a good spot here.
Boston – Hector Santiago at Fenway Park. What could possibly go wrong? Santiago sports a 5.27 ERA with a 5.44 FIP and a 5.04 xFIP on the campaign. He’s now given up 46 home runs over his last 286 innings, including 17 in 85.1 innings this season. Fenway Park is a tough animal for any pitcher, but Santiago’s given up a lot of hard contact and some dingers, so it’s truly a bad place for him. The Red Sox are also seventh in wOBA against LHP on the season.
Seattle – Tyler Wilson owns a 4.50 ERA with a 4.62 FIP and a 4.94 xFIP on the season. His awful K% has probably caught up with him lately, as his numbers have taken a bit of a dive. He’s just a guy out there trying to eat innings. He’s actually had a harder time limiting extra-base hits against righties than lefties on the season, but lefties are still slugging .426 off of him, so the LHB-heavy Mariners should put up some numbers.
Here are the top value hitters for July 2:
Jung Ho Kang ($3,300) – The nice thing about facing good starting pitchers is that good hitters come in at more reasonable prices. One of them is Jung Ho Kang. He has been struggling a little bit of late, which adds to the low price, but he’s coming off of a day off and that tends to be a good thing for a hitter. He’s still slashing .257/.331/.542 on the season, with seven extra-base hits in just 49 PA against lefties.
Yoenis Cespedes ($3,500) – Power vs. power. Who will prevail? Yoenis Cespedes and the Mets draw the Chicago Cubs and the “struggling” Jake Arrieta. Arrieta hasn’t been working deep into games over his last two starts and has had a lot of control issues since the start of May. Cespedes is doing well this year with 20 dingers and a .292/.361/.572 slash. At this price, he’s worth a gamble, even against an elite arm.
Ben Zobrist ($3,900) – From that same game, Ben Zobrist looks to be in a pretty good position against Bartolo Colon. Zobrist has done a ton of damage against fastballs over the course of his career and we all know how many of those Colon throws. He’s also batting .289/.404/.460 from the left side of the dish this year. That’s a good ROI from the switch hitter at a price point like this.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 2:
Patrick Corbin ($4,800) – Things haven’t gone well for Patrick Corbin this season, who hasn’t been able to continue any of the positive trends from his half-season in 2015. The Giants are a middle of the road offense against left-handed pitching, though, and that may be good enough for Corbin to give you the 12 to 15 points you’re looking for from this price point. This is a play to add Jake Arrieta to your lineup if you want.
Chad Kuhl ($6,800) – Chad Kuhl lit up the radar gun in his MLB debut. As a two-pitch pitcher, his viability as a starter is definitely in question, but it might be enough to get him through a couple of starts. Kuhl visits the Oakland A’s in this outing, so he’ll have a safety net with the ballpark and will take on the 26th-ranked offense by wOBA against right-handed pitching on the season.
Drew Pomeranz ($10,600) – The Yankees are the worst American League team in wOBA against left-handed pitchers by a pretty large margin and they take on an unfamiliar one in Drew Pomeranz. New York has a .302 wOBA on the season with absolutely no power. That should give Pomeranz the opportunity to put up a good stat line and he’s probably the best option of the high-priced pitchers today.