It’s the middle of a three-day weekend for most people and there’s a lot of day baseball on the docket. It’s also a pretty strong day for starting pitching, so finding the right hitters to cash in those daily fantasy contests may be a little bit tougher than usual today. We’ll have to dig deep to find the matchups that make sense and the edges that will give you an edge in those H2H, 50/50, and GPP contests. With eight days of baseball left until the All-Star Break, it’s time to build that bankroll for the second half.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for July 3:
Seattle – The Mariners should get a lot of quality swings today against Ubaldo Jimenez. The enigmatic right-hander has been in danger of losing his rotation spot for a while, as he now sports a 6.63 ERA with a 4.74 FIP and a 4.76 xFIP. Jimenez’s walk rate has ballooned yet again and he’s had a hard time inducing weak contact this season. His .376 BABIP against is a sign of just how poor his command has been. Lefties are mashing to the tune of a .341/.431/.553 slash.
Texas – The Rangers were blasted by the Twins on Saturday, but they have a good chance of bouncing back here on Sunday against Kyle Gibson. After throwing seven shutout frames last time out, Gibson lowered his ERA to 5.12 and dropped his FIP to 4.63. That’s a sign of just how bad he was pitching prior to that. Gibson has a well below average strikeout rate and has walked too many batters. Lefties are whacking the ball to a .310/.356/.500 slash in 90 PA so far and he has a 17/13 K/BB against righties. He’s in line to get shelled again.
Colorado – It’ll be an emotional day at Dodger Stadium when Brandon McCarthy makes his return to the mound for the Dodgers. He’ll take on the Colorado Rockies. McCarthy made four rehab starts in his return from Tommy John surgery at the minor league level with some mixed results, showing both command and control problems. The Rockies should get some opportunities, so hopefully they cash in on them.
Here are the top value hitters for July 3:
Yan Gomes ($2,200) – Make no mistake about it, the Indians catcher has been terrible at the plate. Gomes could, however, have some value here today against lefty JA Happ. For one thing, you never want to pay too much for a catcher because it’s such a weak offensive position. But, in 62 PA, Gomes has hit .310/.339/.517 against left-handed pitching on the season. He has been awful this season, but he has hit for a little bit of power, so maybe we catch lightning in a bottle here.
Robbie Grossman ($2,600) – Switch hitter Robbie Grossman has excelled against lefties in his 57 plate appearances with a .365/.421/.635 slash. Nobody’s expecting Grossman’s production to continue, but he is the rare switch hitter with better numbers from the right side. Cole Hamels has had some command issues throughout the season, so Grossman could rack up a decent score at a very low price.
Ben Zobrist ($3,300) – After being included in yesterday’s article, and responding with a dinger, we’ll go back to Ben Zobrist again on Sunday. The switch-hitting 2B owns a .298/.406/.476 slash overall and a .288/.403/.471 slash against right-handed pitching. Noah Syndergaard is a tough matchup for anybody, but he is pitching hurt right now and that could give Zobrist the edge he needs to get a nice score.
Here are the top value pitchers for July 3:
Chad Green ($5,900) – Chad Green gets another crack at the big league level to take on the San Diego Padres. Green made a spot start on May 16 and struggled, but he’s been dominant in the minor leagues with a 1.54 ERA, a 2.19 FIP, and over a strikeout per inning in his 81.2 frames. The 25-year-old was picked up in the Justin Wilson deal and looks like some solid depth for the Yankees rotation. The Padres are still the worst offense in baseball against RHP.
Matt Wisler ($7,100) – It’s difficult to project how Fort Bragg Field will play for tonight’s extremely special Major League Baseball game between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves, but it plays 331 down the lines and 405 to dead center. Wisler continues getting better as a pitcher and is coming off of a career high in strikeouts. He’s fairly undervalued here at this price against the Marlins.
Vince Velasquez ($8,900) – Vince Velasquez threw five shutout innings with seven K and zero BB in his return to the Phillies rotation. The Royals are a hit or miss offense, but Velasquez is a guy that they don’t have a whole lot of experience against and he should be in line for a pretty solid start. Kansas City is 19th in wOBA against RHP and they have a much worse K/BB ratio than they had last season.