Baseball is spread throughout the day on Saturday with a big one between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees at 1:05 p.m. ET and then 14 other games beginning at 4:05 p.m. ET or later. After yesterday’s collection of aces, the pitching environment is definitely a little more subdued on Saturday. One of the $10,000 men, Stephen Strasburg, is making his first start off the DL after some uninspiring minor league rehab outings. For early and late players, this article will have something for everybody.
As you know, this DFS article is a lot different from others, because we’re not projecting the best hitters and pitchers to take, rather trying to seek out the best values to add to your lineup. Keep that in mind as you peruse today’s suggestions looking for the magic formula to cash a big winner.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 8:
Seattle – Martin Perez dealt against the Giants in his last start, which means that everybody will assume that he’s back. The Rangers left-hander is only five starts back into his Major League season after undergoing Tommy John surgery last year. Command and control are still an issue and he never really missed a lot of bats to begin with. The top-four offensive teams by wOBA over the last 30 days? The Rockies, Yankees, Giants, and…Seattle Mariners. The Mariners also have the second-most HR in that span tied with the Toronto Blue Jays.
Boston – Alfredo Simon is terrible. He is also coming off of a groin injury, which is another good reason to go against him and stack the Red Sox. The Red Sox offense has been a disappointment all season and they just traded Mike Napoli, but Simon owns a 4.55/4.23/4.38 pitcher slash this season and the leg injury could affect his already shoddy mechanics even more. The Red Sox entered play on Friday with the league lead in most men left on base. They’ve gotten chances this season. They just haven’t cashed in. Simon has a 68.1 percent strand rate this season, which is well below league average.
St. Louis – Going against Wily Peralta worked out nicely for those that stacked last start, so we’ll try it again in this one. Peralta has shown some promise, but ultimately, he is a guy with mediocre control and below average command. An early-season injury derailed Peralta’s 2015 campaign and he’s not a guy that can get it back easily. His high strand rate is the only thing saving him from an ERA over five. Lefties are slugging .556 and righties have a .358 OBP, so he hasn’t really gotten anybody out this season.
Here are the top value hitters for August 8:
Franklin Gutierrez ($2,800) – Gutierrez is a decent cheap play against left-hander Martin Perez on Saturday. Gutierrez is batting .326/.348/.535 in a small sample against lefties this season, but he has always had success against lefties. He has a .289/.344/.478 slash against southpaws in his career. It’s been a long and windy road for Gutierrez, but Lloyd McClendon has slotted him in the middle of the order against lefties and that generates some value.
Victor Martinez ($3,400) – It has been a down year for Victor Martinez, but he has still shown his hitting prowess against lefties. It’s a fairly small sample of 72 PA, but Martinez is batting .359/.417/.484 against southpaws on the year. His problems have been against righties because of the nature of his knee injury. He has still been able to drive the ball when hitting right-handed and that’s the way he will swing against Wade Miley on Saturday night.
Brian Dozier ($4,200) – I knew right away that I was going with Brian Dozier against Trevor Bauer on Saturday. Dozier is a good high fastball hitter and Bauer will actively work up in the zone with the fastball. The Indians sent Tyler Holt down on Friday night, which likes means a Raburn/Sands/Aviles-Brantley-Chisenhall OF, which is awful defensively. Bauer also doesn’t hold runners very well, so Dozier may steal some points that way. He’s definitely the top value at 2B today.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for August 8:
Nate Karns ($8,600) – From the afternoon slate, I like Nate Karns the most because of his strikeout upside. Mike Montgomery may have the better matchup, but Karns has a much better strikeout rate. On the other hand, Montgomery is $1,000 cheaper and doesn’t have a manager that will pull him the first chance he gets. But, Karns can be a strikeout per inning guy and that’s what carries the value in DFS contests.
Mike Foltynewicz ($5,000) – I may regret this, but Folty takes on the worst offense in the league against right-handed pitching on Saturday night. He has strikeout per inning upside as well, even though he didn’t strike out any Giants in his last outing. The command problems are a bit of a worry, but the Marlins don’t hit many home runs. Again, this is about value. If Folty can give you 10-15 points at this price combined with a dominant ace, this is a worthwhile exercise.
Ubaldo Jimenez ($7,800) – It’s been a while since I’ve gone this route, but this seems like a good spot to back Jimenez. He has struggled of late and the strikeouts have dwindled, but he’s going to be working in a good pitcher’s park and that should help. The Angels are a very aggressive lineup and Jimenez’s ability to change speeds should play well against that type of lineup. He’s worth a shot at this price given the pitching environment and the strikeout upside that is present when the stuff is on. Also, it’s not a great day for second or third-tier pitching.