Nine games are on the Major League Baseball betting docket for June 23, as 12 teams enjoy a much needed day off. Most teams only get two or three days off in June, as MLB tries to capitalize on the improving weather to boost attendance. There are four afternoon games and five night games on the schedule, so we’ll look at players/teams from each segment of the day in an effort to make you the next big winner in daily fantasy contests.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 23:
Boston (early) – At this point, James Shields has become Mike Pelfrey or Alfredo Simon or Wily Peralta. Any time he’s on the mound, you stack against him. It’s amazing how far Shields has fallen, but he’s going to Fenway Park to take on the Red Sox and that’s about the last place you want him to go…unless, of course, you want to stack against him. In Shields’s last four starts, three with Chicago, he has allowed 32 runs on 32 hits with seven home runs allowed in 11.1 innings of work.
Chicago Cubs (late) – I was a big proponent of Wei-Yin Chen going into the season, but things just haven’t worked out for him so far in Miami. He better get it together in a hurry because a visit from the Cubs is on the horizon. Chen has allowed 15 runs on 23 hits over his last three starts and his pitcher slash has ballooned to 5.22/4.74/4.33 on the season. The Cubs hit just about everybody, but they are tied for third in wOBA at .346 against left-handed pitching on the season.
Arizona (late) – Colorado. Coors Field. You really don’t need more evidence than that to stack a team playing in that hitter’s haven, but Eddie Butler is another good reason. Butler has a 6.26/5.14/4.30 pitcher slash on the season. With Coors Field in play, it’s unlikely that he’ll regress towards that 4.30 xFIP, which is solely influenced by a low walk rate. Butler allows a lot of contact and that’s never good at Coors.
Here are the top value hitters for June 23:
Melky Cabrera (early) ($2,900) – Melky Cabrera has posted a better slash line from the right side, but he’s hit six of his seven home runs from the left side and his K/BB ratio has been spectacular. He’s a .278/.341/.424 hitter against right-handed pitching this season, which isn’t eye-popping or earth-shattering, but it’s really solid at this price point and Rick Porcello will allow some balls in play.
Joey Votto (late) ($4,500) – Normally, we’re looking for platoon advantages here, but Joey Votto may have a same-side platoon advantage on Thursday night. Padres starter Christian Friedrich has allowed a .348 wOBA to lefties in 46 plate appearances on the season. It’s a small sample, but it’s an extremely interesting one, since we rarely see this from left-handed pitchers. Regardless, Votto is swinging it well right now and it probably doesn’t matter which hand the pitcher uses.
Martin Prado (late) ($3,300) – This is a decent play for tonight, but it’s something to keep in mind against other lefties throughout the season. Martin Prado is a .373/.441/.441 hitter against left-handed pitching so far this year with more walks than strikeouts. For Prado, this is a continuation of the success he’s had throughout his career with the platoon advantage. Over the last five seasons, Prado has posted wRC+ marks of 134, 134, 170, 130, and 138 against lefties.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 23:
Daniel Norris (early) ($6,100) – We’ll give this one a shot here with Daniel Norris taking on a Seattle team that cannot wait to get home. The Mariners have only played seven home games so far this month and have visited San Diego, Texas, Tampa Bay, Boston, and Detroit. They head home after this game, with a 2-7 road trip thus far. The Mariners have scored two runs or less in four of their last five games and Norris may be able to take advantage.
Ricky Nolasco (early) ($7,400) – The Twins right-hander draws a good assignment against the freefalling Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday. It’s a getaway day for the Phils, who have a long flight out to San Francisco to look forward to and that’s not a great situation. Nolasco has a 4.91 ERA with a 3.47 FIP and a 3.91 xFIP, so there are signs of regression in his stat profile. The Phillies have lost nine straight and 13 of 14, so it’s been a struggle for them lately.
Matt Wisler (late) ($7,400) – The New York Mets lost a key offensive cog with Yoenis Cespedes leaving yesterday’s game. Matt Wisler has the potential to throw a decent game here in this one at a reasonable price. Wisler induces a lot of weak contact in the air and the Mets have had some offensive issues of late, so stringing hits together isn’t exactly a strength right now.