A full Sunday on the diamond awaits as we inch closer to the All-Star Break. Two weeks from today, the league’s shining stars will be preparing for a trip to San Diego and the others will be planning mini vacations or relaxing with the family. These next two weeks tend to be emphasized for contenders, so we’ll see if we do see any additional effort from those teams. Sundays are tricky handicaps for DFS purposes, so we’ll try to help you through this one.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 26:
Texas – There really aren’t a whole lot of stacking options that look good on paper, but some team is going to go off and hang a big total. Perhaps it will be the Texas Rangers. The Rangers draw Clay Buchholz on Sunday. Buchholz is in danger of losing his rotation spot. He’s made 11 starts and five relief appearances covering 71 innings and has a 5.83 ERA with a 5.71 FIP and a 5.37 xFIP. His K rate is dangerously low and his walk rate is very high. With a decrease in ground balls and an increase in HR/FB%, Globe Life Park isn’t good for him.
New York Mets – The Mets haven’t been doing a ton offensively here of late, as guys like Michael Conforto have gone in the tank a little bit. A matchup against Bud Norris could be just what the Mets need to get back on track. Norris has a 4.69 ERA, a 4.14 FIP, and a 4.30 xFIP on the season overall, but we’ll focus more on his nine starts. As a starter, Norris has a 5.80/4.44/4.22 pitcher slash and opposing hitters are batting .277/.345/.442 with a .337 wOBA. All six of his homers and 11 of his 13 doubles allowed have been in starts.
Miami – We’ll take a little bit of a gamble here in this one with the Marlins going up against Jason Hammel. Regression is coming for Jason Hammel. He gave up four runs on six hits in 5.2 innings last time out to kickstart the process. He has a 2.55 ERA, but a 3.83 FIP and a 4.21 xFIP on the season. His .249 BABIP is well below his .300 career mark and his 9.9 HR/FB% is inching up towards the 12 percent it has been in each of the last three seasons. Hammel’s 84.2 percent strand rate shouldn’t last long either.
Here are the top value hitters for June 26:
Steven Moya ($2,400) – We’re going to do this again. Moya is off to a .322/.365/.975 start so far this season and has a far more favorable matchup today with Josh Tomlin than he did with Danny Salazar or Carlos Carrasco and his price only adjusted $100. You really don’t need much at this price point to get a good ROI and a home run would obviously be golden. This is a good, cheap option.
AJ Reed ($2,800) – It wasn’t an earth-shattering debut for AJ Reed, but a couple walks and a couple runs were enough for a solid 10-point day in DraftKings scoring. Ian Kennedy has a knack for giving up some long balls, so hopefully that’ll be the case here. Reed is a three true outcomes guy and those are often the guys that have some value in DFS because they don’t hit for a high average, but they can chip in with a lot of power.
Danny Valencia ($3,800) – Danny Valencia is raking against lefties once again. Valencia owns a .417/.462/.792 slash against southpaws on the season and that performance has raised his career slash to .328/.376/.514. Valencia has been one of the bright spots of the season for the A’s and he’ll be highly sought after on the trade market.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 26:
Marcus Stroman ($5,700) – Marcus Stroman draws the unfortunate assignment of going up against Chris Sale, but this price is too low for the right-hander. His command hasn’t been as sharp as the Blue Jays would like and they’re considering a demotion, but a lot of this has to do with sequencing and bad luck. Opposing hitters have a .319 BABIP and Stroman has only stranded 63.2 percent of his baserunners. He’s still inducing a lot of ground balls and he’s not giving up many homers, so hopefully regression finds him soon.
Nate Eovaldi ($5,200) – Nate Eovaldi’s ERA has risen to 5.02, as he has allowed 20 runs in 20 innings over his last four starts. It’s a bit surprising to see Eovaldi fall off so dramatically, but he’s allowed six home runs in that span and hasn’t been missing bats like he was earlier in the season. Maybe there’s an underlying injury here, but it seems like a lot of bad luck is catching up with him at this point.
Anthony DeSclafani ($8,100) – It’s time for the Padres to cool off and Anthony DeSclafani should be in good shape for this matchup. The Padres have been fortunate to face a string of lefties here of late and they own left-handed pitching. It’s a much different story against right-handers, where they rank among the league’s worst offensive clubs. We’ll simply play the splits here and stream DeSclafani in a game that should work out well for him.