Twenty of the 30 MLB teams will be in action here on Monday night, with one day game on the slate between the Dodgers and the Pirates. That means that eight teams get a much needed day off here during the dog days of summer. For those that are in action, the two-week push is on to accumulate wins prior to the All-Star Break. Does that mean anything for daily fantasy purposes? Maybe not, but days off for star players should be less frequent with the Break coming up. Predictability is good in DFS.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 27:
Colorado – If regression is ever going to hit for Marco Estrada, Colorado seems like the place for it to happen. The Blue Jays ace, yes, really, has a 2.70 ERA, but a 4.05 FIP and a 4.67 xFIP. Changeup location and fastball command have allowed him to post a .183 BABIP against and an 80.7 percent strand rate. Many in the baseball community have wondered about the sustainability of these peripherals. Nobody can carry a .183 BABIP, so regression is coming and a start in Colorado seems like a good opportunity.
Chicago Cubs – What Dan Straily has been able to do this season has been impressive. He’s rode a .235 BABIP to a 3.83 ERA, outpitching his 4.34 FIP and 4.83 xFIP. Straily’s high fly ball rate has kept him out of danger, but the Cubs have the type of power that can cause some of the regression that is suggested in his stats. The Cubs are seventh in wOBA against right-handed pitching and have the league’s best walk rate. That puts a lot of pressure on Straily.
Tampa Bay – It seems like there’s no end in sight for Tampa Bay’s slide, but their best chance probably comes tonight. They are second in wOBA against lefties and a matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez seems to be very favorable for the home team. Rodriguez has a 6.41 ERA with a 6.36 FIP and a 5.58 xFIP. Last start, he abandoned his slider, which has been his worst pitch, but hitters are battering his other offerings as well.
Here are the top value hitters for June 27:
Lonnie Chisenhall ($3,000) – Lonnie Chisenhall has made some really impressive adjustments this season and may actually be figuring it out. Chisenhall is up to a .290/.352/.451 slash and he’s starting to move up the lineup a little bit. Without the DH in the lineup, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Chisenhall hit fifth tonight against Atlanta. He has a .289/.349/.444 slash against right-handed pitching so far this season.
Nomar Mazara ($3,400) – The rookie has gone through some growing pains of late, but he’s still batting .287/.338/.434 on the season with 11 dingers. The short porch at Yankee Stadium could be very helpful to Mazara, particularly against subpar right-handers like Ivan Nova. Mazara is slashing .300/.355/.489 against righties on the season with 10 of his 11 dongs.
Xander Bogaerts ($4,700) – Sometimes you simply have to pay a price to get production. Xander Bogaerts is killing left-handed pitching this season with a .370/.412/.543 slash. It’s not necessarily a platoon advantage, because he’s killing all pitching, but Blake Snell can get a little bit erratic and might turn this Boston lineup over several times early in the game. That would give Boston a nice edge and Bogaerts would benefit greatly.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 27:
Collin McHugh ($6,900) – This is a nice price for a starter on the upswing. Collin McHugh has been throwing a lot of strikes and has done a better job of stranding runners over his last few starts. McHugh still has problems here and there, but Angel Stadium is a forgiving place to pitch and the Angels are just 19th in wOBA against right-handed pitchers on the season.
Robbie Ray ($9,300) – Southpaw Robbie Ray draws one of the best assignments possible in Major League Baseball on Monday night. The Diamondbacks take on the Phillies, who are 30th in wOBA against left-handed pitching. The Phillies also have one of the highest K% in that split, so Ray should be able to have success and pick up some punchouts in the process.
Matt Shoemaker ($9,900) – If anybody can slow down the Astros right now, it’s Matt Shoemaker. Since Shoemaker found his splitter on May 21, he’s struck out 62 batters in 51.2 innings with just four walks allowed. He’s posted a 2.09/2.03/2.54 pitcher slash over those seven starts. He hasn’t gotten any run support, but he’s posted some really good numbers for daily fantasy players.