Yesterday’s idle teams are back in action today, so all 30 teams will take the field tonight, weather permitting. Tuesdays are great nights for joining daily fantasy contests because all of the games are at night and there’s plenty of time to do the day job before getting to the nighttime hobby. The pitchers are very clearly divided tonight, as no pitcher sits between $8,600 and $10,300 on DraftKings. That means value and we’re good at finding that.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 28:
Miami – It’s Mike Pelfrey Day! Yay! Mike Pelfrey’s 4.1 scoreless innings in relief on June 24 marked the first time this season that he’s had a scoreless appearance. That outing lowered his ERA to 4.91/5.36/5.08. He’s only struck out 40 batters in 80.2 innings, so there have been a lot of balls in play off the right-hander and a lot of them have found holes with a .339 BABIP. Miami’s a cheap stack, so this is a good option to consider.
Colorado/Toronto – Sometimes we include Coors Field and sometimes we don’t. It all depends because it’s always a viable stacking situation. Today is no different. Eddie Butler would struggle to get you or me out because he has a 6.71 ERA, a 5.44 FIP, and a 4.31 xFIP. Even with 11 HR allowed in 51 IP, he still has a .335 BABIP against. JA Happ, the starter for Toronto, shows some major signs of regression with a 3.42 ERA, but a 4.45 FIP and a 4.53 xFIP. His 79.6 percent strand rate won’t hang around long with a 17.2 percent K%.
Baltimore – It doesn’t matter where Erik Johnson pitches because he’s a below average arm. The main piece in the James Shields trade with Chicago, Johnson owns an 8.54 ERA with an 8.88 FIP, and a 5.24 xFIP in his five starts so far. In 26.1 innings, he’s given up 12 home runs. The Orioles have plenty of power, as we know, so it wouldn’t be a shocker to see them hang a big number on Tuesday night.
Here are the top value hitters for June 28:
Oswaldo Arcia ($3,200) – The Rays made a savvy pickup with their outfield needs by acquiring Oswaldo Arcia last week from Minnesota. Arcia is a great platoon complement in that lineup because he has excellent power against right-handed pitching. In 672 career plate appearances, which amounts to about a full season, Arcia has 35 HR against right-handed pitching. He’s slashing .246/.318/.476 with a .343 wOBA and a 117 wRC+. That means he’s been 17 percent above average against righties in this span, which is impressive with a relatively low OBP. That’s because of the power.
Lonnie Chisenhall ($3,300) – Lonnie Chisenhall is absolutely raking right now. After a 2-for-4 Monday night with a three-run jack, Chisenhall is up to .295/.355/.470 on the season. He’s been hitting the cover off the ball over his last 10 games with a .353/.389/.676 slash. Chisenhall has always been a streaky hitter, so riding one of his good streaks can be profitable.
Justin Upton ($3,400) – The slugger is starting to come out of his slump a little bit. Justin Upton has four homers in his last 10 games and has started to cut back on the strikeouts a little bit. Against lefty Adam Conley, strikeouts shouldn’t be that big of a worry. In his career, JUp is a .271/.377/.501 hitter with the platoon advantage.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 28:
Albert Suarez ($6,300) – This is likely the last start for Albert Suarez before Matt Cain returns to the rotation, so he should go all out in this outing. Suarez has had a little bit of a home run issue in his starts, but he has held batters to a .218 AVG with a .291 OBP in 86 plate appearances. It’s not a great number, but he’s taking on an Athletics team that is 27th in wOBA against right-handed pitching on the season.
Lucas Giolito ($6,400) – If you’re ready to be dazzled, tune in to Lucas Giolito’s MLB debut. The Nationals prospect has everything you could want in a pitcher with an explosive fastball, a devastating hammer, and plus-plus command. The control can be a little bit wild, but that’s because the stuff has so much life. Giolito has 353 strikeouts in 324.2 innings of work at the minor league levels.
Julio Urias ($7,400) – Another youngster makes the list today with Julio Urias. Urias continues to be underpriced, even as his salary has risen a little bit. In his last four starts, Urias has posted 18.6, 19, 23.7, and 15.1 points in DraftKings formats and that’s a great return on investment given the salaries that he has had. Urias is going to be limited from an innings standpoint, so it’s in his best interest to go out there and not hold back. The Brewers strike out nearly 24 percent of the time against left-handed pitching.