Tuesday nights are one of the best nights for daily fantasy baseball. All 30 teams are in action under the lights, so it gives DFS players all day to survey the matchups, injuries, and plenty of lead time on the lineups before locking in for the day. The Cubs are playing a rare home night game against the Cardinals, so even they are available in all formats. Plenty of options are available this evening, so let’s find those missing pieces of the puzzle.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 21:
Baltimore – Luis Perdomo draws about as tough of an assignment as it gets for a below average National League starter. Perdomo has an 8.79 ERA with a 5.33 FIP and a 4.43 xFIP. He’s given up 69 hits in 42 innings, including seven home runs. In all, he’s allowed 93 baserunners in 42 innings of work covering three starts and 15 relief appearances. That’s a lot of traffic on the basepaths.
Houston – The Astros haven’t been very consistent this season, but hopefully a matchup against Hector Santiago will lead to an offensive breakout. The left-hander has finally run into the regression that has been building for the last three seasons, so he has a 5.30 ERA with a 5.24 FIP and a 4.86 xFIP. Santiago has given up 14 homers in just 73 innings of work. Minute Maid Park isn’t a great place to be a fly ball pitcher either.
Cincinnati – We’ll give this stack a shot. Hopefully the majority of DFS players overlook this decent opportunity. Colby Lewis now owns a 2.81 ERA with a 4.20 FIP and a 4.75 xFIP on the season. He has held opposing batters to a .234 BABIP, which is 61 points lower than his career average, and he has stranded 83.3 percent of his runners. Those two numbers are not sustainable, no matter how good the Rangers defense is. Maybe an unlikely source will deliver a blow to those numbers.
Here are the top value hitters for June 21:
Willson Contreras ($2,000) – You’re going to see a lot of Willson Contreras as long as his salary remains this low. The catching spot is usually an offensive black hole unless you allocate too many resources to filling that position. Contreras is going to play when Kyle Hendricks, John Lackey, and Jason Hammel get starts. Keep that in mind as you fill out your lineups and double check who is pitching for the Cubs before locking in Contreras at this bargain bin price.
Prince Fielder ($3,000) – Prince is having a really rough year, but he draws a decent matchup on Tuesday night against Anthony DeSclafani. This is just the third start for DeSclafani and he’s had trouble locating to lefties, who own a .458/.519/.708 in just 27 plate appearances. It’s a small sample size, but still. It’s a continuation of last season when lefties posted a .338 wOBA compared to a .302 wOBA by righties.
Corey Seager ($3,800) – Tanner Roark has been good this season, but Corey Seager has been mashing right-handed pitching on the year. Seager has hit 11 dingers and has 13 doubles in his 232 PA against RHP for a .293/.362/.514 slash. It all adds up to a .372 wOBA and a 138 wRC+. Overall, Seager is a .283/.344/.509 hitter on the campaign.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 21:
Sonny Gray ($6,600) – It’s tough to find a better matchup for Sonny Gray. The Brewers are 15th in wOBA, but, they’re also first in K% and have been able to elevate their offensive performance with walks and a high BABIP. It’s not all there yet for Gray, but if he is sharp, he’s usually inducing weak contact. With the big ballpark in Oakland and a Brewers lineup that doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence, Gray seems like a good bet at this price on Tuesday.
Blake Snell ($6,700) – The Indians draw another left-hander on Tuesday, but this is one that they’ve never seen. Blake Snell makes his third career big league start and he could be in line for a gem. He’s struck out nine in his 8.1 innings. His defense didn’t help him last time out, but he also had some control issues. He has plenty of upside, so you take the inconsistency and hope that he can string together some punchouts at this price.
Aaron Nola ($9,000) – It’s a different situation for Aaron Nola facing an American League lineup, but the Twins are pretty awful. They have an 88 wRC+ against righties and have struck out in 22.5 percent of their plate appearances. Nola has struggled a little bit recently, but he now shows some signs of positive regression with a 3.51 ERA, a 3.05 FIP, and a 2.80 xFIP. Nola has struck out well over a batter per inning and has a high ground ball rate, so he should be just fine.