It looks like it should be a good night for hitters based on pitcher salaries for June 20. A new week of opportunities in daily fantasy baseball begins with just nine night games, so players have all day to absorb information and then make informed roster decisions. There are so many variables on a day-to-day basis that can make it difficult to hit on every player. However, playing the percentages with the best of the best is a good way to win. That means saving money whenever possible.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 20:
Seattle – If you’re a regular reader of this column, you knew that the Mariners would show up right here in this very spot. Mike Pelfrey is on the mound for the Detroit Tigers and that means we stack the opposition. It just so happens that the Mariners are fourth in wOBA against right-handed pitching and third in wRC+, so they have a great shot to do some damage against Pelfrey. Pelfrey has a 4.79/5.36/5.18 pitcher slash this season.
Houston – The Astros face the type of pitcher that they can really do some damage against on Monday night. That pitcher is Jhoulys Chacin, who has a 5.00 ERA with a 3.96 FIP and a 4.10 xFIP on the season. Chacin’s full-season numbers are better than his AL split with the Angels, which sits at 4.75/3.97/4.54. Chacin’s home run rate is down, but Angel Stadium will do that. He’s got poor K/BB peripherals and the Astros are at their best when they face a contact pitcher.
Boston – Technically, you could make a case for stacking Boston just about every night with how prolific their offense has been this season. It’s a little easier to make that case with a pitcher like Miguel Gonzalez on the mound. In eight starts and a relief appearance, Gonzalez has a 4.74/4.36/4.69 pitcher slash. He’s given up a lot of hard contact on the barrel and his K% is going to slowly decrease because he’s never been a strikeout guy at the big league level.
Here are the top value hitters for June 20:
Steven Moya ($2,400) – We’ll try to dig really deep because the pitching market is so top-heavy today. Steven Moya is a good start. The powerful prospect will get the bulk of the playing time in JD Martinez’s absence and he had a good weekend against the Royals, including his first career dinger. Moya hit 35 HR in Double-A in 2014 and hit 13 in 215 PA at Triple-A before being recalled this past week. Moya will have a platoon advantage against Nate Karns tonight and he’s certainly worth a look at this price.
Willson Contreras ($2,000) – We’ll have to see how Joe Maddon figures out the playing time for his three-catcher system, but it’s only a matter of time before Willson Contreras proves that he needs more of it. He’ll be behind the plate to catch John Lackey on Monday and he’ll be in the lineup against Jaime Garcia. Contreras has a very impressive set of numbers against Double-A and Triple-A pitching and has a platoon advantage tonight.
Nomar Mazara ($3,300) – We’re back on this train as Nomar Mazara takes his swings against Kevin Gausman. Mazara has gone through some ups and downs during his rookie season, but he still owns a .313/.361/.521 slash line on the season against right-handed pitching. He has a .372 wOBA and a 130 wRC+. He’s still worth a look at these low price points, even if the consistency hasn’t quite been there.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 20:
Kevin Gausman ($5,900) – It’s not a great night for pitching. It’s very top-heavy with Clayton Kershaw, Madison Bumgarner, and Stephen Strasburg all on the hill. Gausman’s run prevention metrics could be better, but he’s struck out 57 in 63 innings of work and cheap strikeouts would be really great on a night like tonight. Gausman has really sharp reverse platoon splits, holding lefties to a .222/.262/.367 slash. That gives me some hope for tonight.
Drew Smyly ($6,700) – A tired, possibly hungover, Indians team will take the field against the left-hander on Monday night. Many of the Indians were out late watching the Cavs win Cleveland’s first major sports championship since 1964. Aside from that potential situational angle, Smyly still misses bats and has 89 K in 77.2 innings of work. Again, strikeouts and innings are all we want from these low prices. Kevin Cash also knows Indians hitters as a former staff member, so that could be a helpful thing for the Rays lefty.
Stephen Strasburg ($13,200) – If you’re going to find a way to fit one of the top three starters, Strasburg is the one I’d go with. He’s $1,000 cheaper than Clayton Kershaw and has a similar level of upside. Strasburg should have the competitive juices flowing to face the game’s best pitcher. He has 118 K in 93 innings this season and his devastating changeup is a big weapon against a lineup that hasn’t seen it much.