A big day is on tap around the Major League Baseball world with 15 games and some very intriguing pitching matchups. Daily fantasy players will have a lot of decisions to make during the all day contests and it should be a very good day for both pitchers and hitters. Warm weather means some carry to the baseball and some quality arms are going off at reasonable prices. All in all, it looks like an exciting day on the diamond, so let’s make it one for your DFS bankroll.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 18:
Cleveland – Until James Shields can prove otherwise, you have to look to fade the White Sox right-hander. Shields has made two starts in his new home and he has a 16.71 ERA with a 12.21 FIP and an 8.13 xFIP. His stat line goes 7 IP, 17 H, 14 R, 13 ER, 4 HR, 6 BB, 2 WP, 3 K. He won’t be this bad forever, but he had a 4.28 ERA with a 4.42 FIP and a 4.17 xFIP with the Padres in 11 starts and had allowed 13 HR in 74.1 IP. A warm night in Cleveland means the ball should carry to RF, so stacking the lefties makes some sense.
Toronto – Yovani Gallardo makes his return to the Orioles rotation and this is probably not the best lineup to come back against. Jose Bautista is on the DL, but the Blue Jays got the bats going earlier this week and Gallardo comes back off of three mediocre rehab starts. He had a 7.00 ERA, a 4.02 FIP, and a 5.67 xFIP before he hit the DL, so it’s hard to expect much here in this first outing.
New York Mets – The Mets will hope to get the offense going against Aaron Blair today and he should be a good matchup for the team. Blair is nine starts into his MLB career and has yet to pick up a win with a 7.59 ERA, a 5.68 FIP, and a 6.15 xFIP. Blair has walked more hitters than he has struck out and sports a .321 BABIP against and five home runs allowed in 40.1 innings of work. The Mets should be able to take advantage here today.
Here are the top value hitters for June 18:
Albert Almora ($3,400) – It’s tough to tell when Albert Almora will get playing time, but he should be a productive bat when he does. Almora and the Cubs draw lefty Jon Niese today and that should be a good spot to work Almora in. He was a .322/.421/.456 hitter against lefties last year in Double-A and has posted solid numbers so far this season. If he’s in the lineup, he’s definitely worth a look at this low price on a balmy day in the Windy City.
Eugenio Suarez ($3,300) – The Reds draw a tough customer in Dallas Keuchel today, but Keuchel hasn’t been as sharp as he has in recent seasons. Eugenio Suarez’s full-season numbers aren’t impressive, but he has been impressive against lefties on the season. Suarez is a .310/.355/.569 hitter with the platoon advantage and has hit five dongs in just 62 plate appearances. Last season, Suarez was a .289/.337/.482 hitter against lefties.
Jung Ho Kang ($3,200) – Another tough lefty, but another guy that is having lots of success with the platoon split this season. Jung Ho Kang and the Pirates battle Jon Lester and the Cubs. Kang has 33 PA with the platoon advantage and has hit three homers with a .313/.333/.719 slash. Kang was better against same-side pitching last season, but he’s picking up lefties really well and is a solid all-around hitter.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 18:
Tim Lincecum ($6,100) – Nerves could be in play for Tim Lincecum, but he’ll make his 2016 debut and his first start for somebody other than the Giants today. The Angels face the Athletics and Lincecum, who reportedly looked great during this showcase sessions prior to signing, is looking to build off of three strong starts at Triple-A with 19 K in 17 IP. He’s pitching in a park that will forgive some minor command flaws and he has good upside at this price.
Matt Moore ($6,900) – The Rays left-hander might have found something last start against Houston when he punched out 10 in seven innings. Matt Moore has a nice, low price today against a Giants lineup that is 19th in wOBA at .313 against left-handed pitching. The unfamiliar lefty angle is in play here and that could work to Moore’s advantage, especially with the Giants missing a key cog against LHP like Hunter Pence.
Michael Pineda ($8,300) – We might actually have a spot here to trust Michael Pineda, in spite of his poor command. Pineda has a 5.88 ERA with a 4.06 FIP and a 3.56 xFIP on the season, but he’s still struck out 79 batters in 72 innings of work. The Twins are now 23rd in wOBA and the ship is really sinking at Target Field. This is a lineup that Pineda could have a lot of success against.