Lots of early baseball on Sunday and a handful of aces to choose from on the August 9 daily fantasy baseball slate. Sundays are generally the toughest day for DFS because players get days off, teams look ahead to Monday off days, and there just seems to be a higher level of variance due to any number of variables. That may be the case on Sunday as well, but we’ll still look to find value wherever we can.
As you know, this DFS article is a lot different from others, because we’re not projecting the best hitters and pitchers to take, rather trying to seek out the best values to add to your lineup. Keep that in mind as you peruse today’s suggestions looking for the magic formula to cash a big winner.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 9:
Baltimore – The Orioles head home after Sunday’s game, so they are a concerning stack for that reason, but they’re also taking on Jered Weaver, who is terrible. There were some positive returns from Weaver’s minor league rehab outings, but he’s still sitting at 83 and there’s just not enough depth to the secondary stuff to expect him to continue outpitching his advanced metrics. Baltimore has a lot of power and the ball travels differently during the day at Angel Stadium. Weaver has a 4.75/4.79/4.80 pitcher slash this season and it seems like the days of posting ERAs a full run better than his xFIP are over.
Cincinnati – Call this one a bit of a hunch, since the Diamondbacks are a big favorite over the Reds with Patrick Corbin on the mound. Corbin sailed right through four of his first five outings since returning from Tommy John surgery, but the command hasn’t been overly sharp and the Reds are surprisingly good against lefties this season. The are in the top 10 in wOBA and in the top eight in SLG. Corbin does benefit from having a very good defense behind him, but something about this start seems like a trap.
Tampa Bay – This one is a little bit of tough sell as well, given that the Rays have been good against lefties and positively awful against righties. But, you know what to expect from Bartolo Colon and that’s half the battle. The Rays will get a steady diet of fastballs and Colon’s command has taken a pretty big step back this season. His sequencing with men on base has also been a problem. The advanced metrics are solid, but, again, those assume a reasonable level of command, which Colon has lacked this season.
Here are the top value hitters for August 9:
Yasmani Grandal ($3,400) – If you had Yasmani Grandal in the top 15 in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season, please raise your hands. There aren’t many of you, are there? Well, it’s true. Grandal owned a .387 OBP and a .524 SLG with a .393 wOBA against right-handed pitching entering play on Saturday. It’s hard to argue with that type of production from a catcher and he’s a very cheap, high upside addition to your lineup.
Marlon Byrd ($3,800) – Marlon Byrd entered Saturday’s game with a .290/.364/.536 slash line against lefties on the season. You may not like the Cincinnati stack, but Byrd is the word when it comes to finding value on Sunday’s DFS card. It’s a little bit surprising that he wasn’t picked up by a contender for the stretch run, but he’s part of the reason why the Reds have excelled against southpaws this season.
Ryan Howard ($3,400) – Why not? Let’s take a shot on Ryan Howard for Sunday. We all know Howard is overpaid, but with a .265/.313/.512 slash against righties entering play on Saturday, it could be a lot worse. Lefties have hit Andrew Cashner hard this season with a .284/.367/.536 slash against. Cashner has also been victimized by some awful team defense, which could help Howard pick up some hits and extra-base hits on Sunday.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for August 9:
Chris Bassitt ($5,500) – There are going to be skeptics out there regarding Chris Bassitt and they probably have a point. For now, let’s take a deeper look. In six starts, he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of them and has shown strikeout per inning upside in his last two outings. As an extreme fly ball pitcher in Oakland, he can give you some length and the strikeouts would be a nice bonus. Against an aggressive lineup like Houston’s, Bassitt has enough to keep them off balance and score some cheap points on Sunday.
Shelby Miller ($8,800) – Shelby Miller’s strikeout rate has been gradually rising over his last few starts, but it’s the ground ball rate and the steadily-improving command that I like in this start. He’ll take on the Miami Marlins in this one on Sunday and they are the worst offense in the league against right-handed pitchers this season. The Braves have allowed Miller to develop his cutter this season and it has become a true separator for him. I was a skeptic at first, but after seeing the arsenal change and the result, I’m fully on board because the 94-95 mph heat is also there when he needs to reach back.
Corey Kluber ($10,600) – Among the aces on the bump on Sunday, all of them are pretty good choices. But, Corey Kluber is the one I like the most. The Twins and Indians have played two long games in this series with a lot of offense. The Twins are free-falling through the standings and they have to be looking forward to Monday’s day off because they return home to face the Rangers. For Kluber, he’s in a good bounce back spot after a disappointing outing against the Angels. Many are viewing his 3.60 ERA and are saying that his 2014 season with a fluke. An elite K/BB rate, a 2.61 FIP, and a 2.89 xFIP say otherwise. He’s well worth a look on a getaway day after a late night.