To keep things simple for Wednesday, today’s daily fantasy baseball article will only feature players from the 10 night games that are on tap. That would eliminate the Reds, Padres, Phillies, Diamondbacks, Orioles, Mariners, Astros, Giants, Red Sox, and Marlins from contention in today’s article of the best values for your DFS dollar. Without further adieu, let’s see how you can be the next big winner tonight!
As you know, this DFS article is a lot different from others, because we’re not projecting the best hitters and pitchers to take, rather trying to seek out the best values to add to your lineup. Keep that in mind as you peruse today’s suggestions looking for the magic formula to cash a big winner.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 12:
Toronto – You could basically try this stack every day and probably be profitable more often than not. The Blue Jays draw rookie Aaron Brooks, who stymied the Indians in his Athletics debut and did the same to the Houston Astros last time out. Brooks tends to be a fly ball guy, which works in Oakland, but works less effectively in Toronto. Brooks’s bread and butter pitch is a changeup, which has been very useful over his last two starts. But, if he doesn’t have that in this one, it could be a short outing for the rook.
Cleveland – The new look Indians seem to have a different mentality than the team that fell well short of expectations to start the season. The hope is that CC Sabathia can build off of his last outing, but that’s not something I would expect to happen. Sabathia has major command problems at this stage of his career. When you’re allowing home runs at the rate CC is and still have a high BABIP against, you’re hanging too many pitches. The Indians don’t have a ton of power, but they’re also pretty cheap to stack right now.
Milwaukee – This one is a pure gamble, but it could work out handsomely as a contrarian play. Jason Hammel has not been healthy since before the All-Star Break when he was lifted from a start with a hamstring issue. Since leaving that start, Hammel has only pitched into the sixth inning once. He’s largely limited damage, with the exception of a six-run outburst by the Phillies, but he’s a shell of the dominant pitcher he was earily in the season. This is a high-risk play, but the Beermakers are cheap to stack and could yield some value.
Here are the best value hitters for August 12:
Chris Johnson ($2,000) – Even though Chris Johnson has been doing damage against righties in small sample sizes since the Indians acquired him, his value is largely tied to hitting left-handed pitching. Johnson owns a career .314/.350/.440 slash against lefties. This season, he’s batting .333/.354/.413 on the heels of a .395/.435/.553 2014 and a .383/.413/.526 in 2013. He’ll hit in the middle of the Tribe’s order against CC Sabathia, who, as mentioned above, has really struggled this season. Righties are batting .318/.366/.537 with a .387 wOBA against Sabathia in 2015.
Jung Ho Kang ($3,500) – The Baseball-Reference bWAR leader for the month of July is priced affordably at just $3,500 for Wednesday’s matchup against Michael Wacha. In his first Major League season, Kang has a .298/.364/.449 slash against right-handers and has been a key cog in the Pirates lineup with all of the injury issues that have experienced. With eligibility at both SS and 3B, that adds to his value because he can be slotted in either position in order to save money for a bigger bat or a pitching ace. Jeff Sullivan of Fangraphs wrote about Kang’s batted ball data since the start of July and that’s well worth a read once you finish this article.
Wilmer Flores ($3,200) – Unless you’re willing to pay the price for a top offensive 2B, second base should be the position that you want to save the most money at because it’s not a good offensive position. That could change on Wednesday with Wilmer Flores. Flores owns a .303/.346/.539 slash against left-handed pitching on the season with a reasonable BABIP of .317. His .885 OPS against lefties is one of the best among players with 2B eligibility.
Here are the best value pitchers for August 12:
Edinson Volquez ($7,600) – The horseshoe lodged in an unnamed orifice continues to bring good luck to Edinson Volquez. Volquez’s traditional run prevention metrics show just how much the Royals defense has benefitted him on the year, with a 3.11 ERA and a 3.82 FIP. There’s no reason to expect it to end and the Tigers are at the “mail it in” point in the season. Volquez probably won’t give you a strikeout per inning, but the Royals smell blood in the water and are a huge favorite over Daniel Norris and the Tigers tonight.
Jacob deGrom ($11,400) – I know you come to this article looking for low-cost value, but there’s not much of it on the pitching market today. You won’t like my next pick either. But, Jacob deGrom is a strikeout per inning guy taking on a Colorado lineup that has not been good at all away from Coors Field this season. They are 25th in wOBA at .293 and are among the worst teams in wRC+. deGrom is an elite right-hander with improving stuff and he should have no problems throwing a gem in this one.
Clayton Kershaw ($14,200) – SaberSim projects Kershaw for 27 points on Wednesday night and he could very well surpass that. He struggled against the Pirates in his last outing. He allowed four runs. In his previous six starts, he had allowed four runs. He has double-digit strikeout potential against a talented, but underperforming Nationals offense and he’s the best pitcher in baseball. Sometimes you have to pay for quality. Even at this price, there’s value in Kershaw. Frankly, there’s value in him in just about every start.