If Tuesdays are my favorite DFS days, Thursday has to be one of my least favorites. With the timeframe of this article, it’s impossible to put the early games into the write-ups because there’s simply not enough time to get eyes on it. That restricts this daily tips and suggestions article to the night games and there are only five of those on tap for tonight. You have to take some more chances with a smaller sample size of games and sometimes going contrarian is the way to get that big payoff in a GPP. Of course, you don’t want to go contrarian in a 50/50 or H2H, but keep in mind all of your options for this small five-game slate.
As you know, this DFS article is a lot different from others, because we’re not projecting the best hitters and pitchers to take, rather trying to seek out the best values to add to your lineup. Keep that in mind as you peruse today’s suggestions looking for the magic formula to cash a big winner.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 13:
Los Angeles Dodgers – We’ll start with the obvious one, since the Dodgers are taking on Reds swingman Keyvius Sampson. Sampson has actually worked as a starter for most of his minor league career and has shown the ability to miss some bats. He’s also shown the ability to miss the strike zone. Scouting reports cite the fastball as a good pitch for Sampson, but he lacks command and a third pitch, which is why relieving is probably in his future. Against a lineup that destroys right-handed pitching, Sampson has big blow-up potential.
San Francisco – The Giants are definitely worth consideration against the second-most expensive pitcher on DK today. Stephen Strasburg is making just his second start back off of the DL and his command was very suspect before he spent time on the shelf. Strasburg has been dealing with shoulder and elbow concerns this season and the Giants are sixth in wOBA and third in wRC+ as a team this season. Without a lot of pitching options available, a Strasburg meltdown coupled with a Giants stack would position you very nicely in a GPP.
New York Yankees – The Yankees aren’t hitting right now, but Trevor Bauer could be the cure for a slumping offense. Bauer has poor walk and home run rates this season and those are two things that the Yankees excel at. Bauer has allowed at least one home run in 17 of his last 19 outings and has walked two or more in 16 of 22 outings on the year. He gets into his own head a lot when things are a struggle and they can snowball. The Yankees may break out tonight.
Here are the best value hitters for August 13:
Stephen Drew ($2,800) – Stephen Drew is a DFS crapshoot, but when he hits, it’s really great. Drew’s slash line is hideous on the season, but he has 14 home runs in 300 at bats and, as mentioned above, Trevor Bauer has some command troubles. He basically only has value if he can run into a mistake, but that’s the chance you have to take sometimes with these cheap players.
Albert Pujols ($4,400) – On days like today, the best values are sometimes the best players. Albert Pujols has hit 30 home runs this season and Jeremy Guthrie’s command has dropped off. That’s a good combination to go ahead and pay up for a guy like Pujols. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Angels have a good night as a team and they could be a stacking option, but Pujols, especially, should be considered for every format.
Gregory Polanco ($3,300) – The Pirates outfielder owns a .269/.344/.406 slash against right-handed pitching this season and is also 19-for-27 in stolen bases against right-handed hurlers. Polanco is 15-for-40 over his last 10 games for a .363/.460/.533 slash line. After struggling in the early part of the season, he’s looking more comfortable at the plate and has made some small mechanics changes to his swing that have helped in a big way.
Here are the best value pitchers for August 13:
Mat Latos ($7,200) – Latos takes on his old team in his second start at Dodger Stadium. The strikeouts have not been there since the trade, but Dodger Stadium is a good pitcher’s park and he could give DFS players a quality start with around a strikeout per inning against a Reds lineup that has been hit or miss throughout the season. It’s hard to find value with pitchers on Thursday, though Latos probably has the best situation.
Garrett Richards ($9,400) – Richards possesses the stuff necessary to slow down the Royals lineup. He has a heavy, hard sinker with a good slider and has actually posted better numbers against lefties than righties this season. The Royals’ speed may be a little bit of an issue against a ground ball guy notorious for weak contact, but there’s some upside potential here if both pitches are working effectively.
Lance Lynn ($10,300) – I lean to Lynn over Liriano, even though Liriano has had good success against the Cardinals in the past. With Lynn, you know you’re going to get about a strikeout per inning and a guy that can work out of jams. Lynn has allowed two runs or less in 15 of his 21 starts and has averaged better than a strikeout per inning, so he has been very reliable and consistent and that’s what you want out of a price tag like this.