Sundays are always tricky days in daily fantasy baseball because there are a lot of interesting situations to contend with. Players get days off, especially with so many night games last night, and teams take the day off to look ahead to Monday’s scheduled off day or a trip to a new city. For today’s article, I’ll have some players for both the early and late portions of the day for those that want to end the weekend on a high note.
As you know, this DFS article is a lot different from others, because we’re not projecting the best hitters and pitchers to take, rather trying to seek out the best values to add to your lineup. Keep that in mind as you peruse today’s suggestions looking for the magic formula to cash a big winner.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 16:
New York Yankees – I don’t know which version of Drew Hutchison will show up on Sunday afternoon, but the bad one would make a Yankees stack extremely valuable. Hutchison has a 5.26 ERA but a 3.93 FIP and a 4.05 xFIP. His .347 BABIP against has had a lot to do with his struggles, but that also illustrates how bad his command has been throughout the season. His mechanics from the stretch and in high-leverage situations have been poor, leading to a .320/.403/.474 slash with runners in scoring position. This is a pressure-filled start for Hutch and that’s a concern.
Boston – Some recency bias is playing into this stack, but the Red Sox have been a much better offensive team throughout the season than a lot of numbers suggest. For a long time, the Red Sox led the American League in men left on base. Some better sequencing luck has allowed some of their run-scoring numbers to even out, as evidenced by what they did to Felix Hernandez on Saturday. Vidal Nuno is making just his third start of the season for the Mariners. As a starter, including time with the Yankees, Nuno has a 4.13 ERA with a .421 SLG against.
Colorado – The Rockies have a chance to hang a big number on Ian Kennedy and the Rockies on Sunday. Kennedy has shown some of the worst command in baseball this season and has given up at least one home run in 11 straight starts. Coors Field is a bad place to pitch when you are a fly ball pitcher with bad command. Kennedy was a reasonably-priced addition at the trade deadline and nobody wanted him. Adjusted for park factor, it’s below average, but the Rockies own a .303/.356/.486 slash at home. The nice thing is that DFS performance isn’t league-adjusted like wRC+, so the Rockies are a very productive offense at home for DFS purposes.
Here are the best value hitters for August 16:
Chris Davis ($4,900) – Normally this article is about finding low-cost production via platoon splits and the like. Sometimes, a guy is so red hot that you just have to find a way to roster him. Chris Davis is that guy. Davis has 15 bombs over his last 27 games with a .327/.411/.765 slash. He’s up to 34 blasts for the season with seven over his last 10 games. Kendall Graveman isn’t an overpowering guy and the baseball looks like a beach ball to Davis right now.
Blake Swihart ($2,800) – Saving money at the catching position opens up opportunities to spend elsewhere. Blake Swihart is a good, low-cost play at catcher. The Red Sox backstop is up to .298/.322/.404 since the All-Star Break as he has gotten more comfortable since his call-up. Swihart doesn’t have a ton of power at the big league level just yet, but he’s shown some decent gap power and he posted a .290/.325/.535 against lefties in the minors in 2014.
Andre Ethier ($3,400) – Andre Ethier has gotten it going again as one of the more valuable platoon bats in baseball. The left-handed hitter is batting .289/.368/.488 on the season overall and .300/.386/.517 against righties on the season. Anthony DeSclafani has allowed a .258/.338/.445 slash to lefties this season, including nine of the 11 home runs that he has allowed.
Here are the best value pitchers for August 16:
Henry Owens ($6,900) – After a long series, the Seattle Mariners are likely hoping to get on to the next place. Henry Owens is a tough customer, with a lot of deception from his left-handed arm slot, and the Mariners rank 21st in wOBA against lefties on the season. They have one of the worst walk rates, which should help Owens, who is still learning how to sequence and command against Major League hitters. He has strikeout per inning upside in this one.
Carlos Martinez ($9,100) – Today’s best value is probably Carlos Martinez, who takes on a Marlins offense that ranks dead last against right-handed pitching this season. Martinez has averaged more than a strikeout per inning this season and has a 2.62 ERA with a 3.47 FIP and a 3.34 xFIP. Against a Marlins team that has done nothing offensively in this series, Martinez has the potential to hang a very big number.
Madison Bumgarner ($11,900) – I’d pay the price here with Bumgarner. Some thought was given to Yordano Ventura, but his start will be BABIP-determined because the Angels don’t strike out a whole lot. Bumgarner takes on a Nationals lineup that is in a major funk right now, even with most of their key guys back. Matt Williams doesn’t know how to stop the tailspin and pressing, frustrated players are easy outs for guys with Bumgarner’s stuff. He’s dominant and getting better, with strikeout per inning upside and an improving walk rate.